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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d | Ghost19 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,230 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 480d |  0xdc3E831cad | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,561 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 481d |  BuckMySalls | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,531 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 481d |  Patroclus | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo100¢ | $1,020 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 481d | Yeahssd | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,594 | +$56 +0.3% | 20 |
| 481d | SaylorMoon | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 481d |  willis1111 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo100¢ | $1,064 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 483d |  10xSquare | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 483d | 10xSquare | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 483d | Jerry4242 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | −$42 −2.0% | — |
| 484d |  Alphax2 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,340 | −$80 −1.8% | — |
| 484d |  Dumbeldor2003 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | −$48 −2.1% | — |
| 484d |  Parz1vaI | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | −$33 −1.7% | — |
| 484d | Jerry4242 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$36 +1.8% | 20 |
| 485d |  sigh | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,910 | −$104 −1.5% | — |
| 485d | BGN | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,039 | −$203 −1.4% | — |
| 485d |  AlmostAndy | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,504 | −$78 −1.4% | — |
| 485d | emma39863 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,453 | +$153 +1.6% | 20 |
| 485d | Alder | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,864 | +$36 +1.9% | 20 |
| 485d |  SappySeal67 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | −$40 −2.3% | — |
| 485d | denizz | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | −$80 −2.1% | — |
| 485d | WhaleZone | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | −$26 −1.8% | — |
| 485d |  elmcap24 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $25,855 | +$1,105 +4.3% | 20 |
| 486d | affs207913 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,025 | +$297 +5.9% | 20 |
| 486d | Dingoose | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$59 +3.8% | 20 |
| 486d |  BenjarninNetanyahu | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | −$73 −5.9% | — |
| 486d | MojAlaki | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | −$92 −5.9% | — |
| 486d | Clown | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$60 +4.2% | 20 |
| 486d |  Red781RuM | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$62 +5.2% | 20 |
| 486d | 726Edmonchuk | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,561 | −$151 −5.9% | — |
| 486d | Sorrymissjackson | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,294 | −$206 −6.2% | — |
| 486d | Saltyballs | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,684 | −$216 −5.9% | — |
| 486d | SeniorLaghetto | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | −$134 −7.7% | — |
| 487d | Parz1vaI | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$97 +7.0% | 20 |
| 487d | skylove | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,138 | +$186 +8.7% | 21 |
| 487d |  TwoEyes | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,249 | +$222 +9.9% | 21 |
| 487d | willis1111 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$225 +9.9% | 21 |
| 487d | Fire13 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | −$77 −4.8% | — |
| 487d |  GerryHannon | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,907 | +$93 +3.2% | 20 |
| 487d |  Car3 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $7,977 | +$1,212 +15% | 21 |
| 487d | AlmostAndy2 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,445 | +$137 +2.5% | 20 |
| 487d | SeniorLaghetto3 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $8,638 | +$929 +11% | 21 |
| 488d | sigh2 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $9,075 | +$3,720 +41% | 20 |
| 488d | sigh | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $2,290 | +$2,290 +100% | — |
| 488d | denizz | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,394 | +$422 +18% | 21 |
| 488d |  SmartButLazy | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$275 +18% | 21 |
| 488d | Generator | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$263 +19% | 21 |
| 488d |  debased | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | +$342 +21% | 21 |
| 488d |  Pulser | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$258 +23% | 21 |
| 488d | Kapii | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,711 | +$2,711 +100% | — |
| 488d | SomeOne45 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $5,052 | +$5,052 +100% | — |
| 488d | randomtrader1 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | −$675 −37% | — |
| 488d | sigh | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $4,059 | −$4,059 −100% | 27 |
| 488d | randomtrader1 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,125 +82% | 22 |
| 488d | Bink_73 fills | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $15,251 | +$13,920 +91% | 22 |
| 488d | Blockchase | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 22 |
| 488d | SomeOne45 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 22 |
| 488d | Vidshore | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $2,924 | −$2,806 −96% | — |
| 488d | Saltyballs | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$1,032 +92% | 22 |
| 488d | ArtVandelay1 | Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,335 | −$2,335 −100% | 22 |
AllDeltaNoTheta2,767 shares
TheHebrewMan1,582 shares
SkilledProcrastinator2 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 21, 8:00 PM ET and, June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an the US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.