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Polymarket wallet 0xa7d23bfd434d9cdc6d475d4feb29d60ba63c68ca · on Polymarket since Oct 19, 2024 · also shown as Majestic-Elbow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,663 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,786 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,582 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$773 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,037 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$201 −100% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,467 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,565 −100% |
| Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,419 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,967 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.