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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 47% | — | −1 pts | 46¢ · 47¢ (1¢) | $1.01K | in 366d |
| Axel Kicillof | 32% | — | +2 pts | 31¢ · 32¢ (1¢) | $687 | in 366d |
| Sergio Massa | 12% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 11¢ · 13¢ (3¢) | $840 | in 366d |
| Patricia Bullrich | 4% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $170 | in 366d |
| Daniel Hadad | 2% | +2 pts | +2 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | $1.81K | in 364d |
| Myriam Bregman | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $170 | in 366d |
| Dante Gebel | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $170 | in 366d |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $170 | in 366d |
| Victoria Villarruel | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $403 | in 366d |
| Karina Milei | 1% | — | +1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 364d |
| Máximo Kirchner | 1% | +1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $656 | in 364d |
| Lionel Messi | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $2.13K | in 364d |
| Alberto Fernández | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 364d |
| Guillermo Moreno | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 364d |
| Mauricio Macri | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $170 | in 366d |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 364d |
| Juan Grabois | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $170 | in 366d |
| Esteban Bullrich | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $170 | in 366d |
| Juan Schiaretti | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.03K | in 366d |
| Facundo Manes | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $170 | in 366d |
| Nicolás del Caño | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 364d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | hfv | Javier Milei | SellYes47¢ | $2,160 | +$34 +1.6% | — |
| 8d | Javier Milei | BuyNo50¢ → 53¢ | $10,503 | +$677 +6.4% | 30 | |
| 8d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Sergio Massa | BuyNo88¢ | $1,098 | +$4 +0.3% | 18 |
| 39d | Plata-O-Mierda4 fills | Axel Kicillof | BuyYes42¢ → 32¢ | $7,809 | −$1,894 −24% | 33 |
| 39d | Kacklappen | Javier Milei | BuyYes53¢ → 47¢ | $1,357 | −$177 −13% | 30 |
| 45d | newbie77 | Myriam Bregman | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,686 | −$30 −1.8% | — |
| 51d | newbie77 | Myriam Bregman | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $2,584 | +$38 +1.5% | 12 |
| 55d | champi | Javier Milei | SellYes50¢ → 47¢ | $3,275 | +$238 +7.3% | — |
| 57d | Plata-O-Mierda | Javier Milei | BuyNo48¢ → 53¢ | $1,057 | +$120 +11% | 30 |
| 58d | Scastle97 - 27850 | Javier Milei | BuyYes52¢ → 47¢ | $1,024 | −$116 −11% | 30 |
| 73d | Javier Milei | BuyYes57¢ → 47¢ | $1,200 | −$217 −18% | 30 | |
| 94d | RealBobby | Axel Kicillof | BuyNo59¢ → 69¢ | $3,000 | +$485 +16% | 30 |
| 99d | newbie77 | Dante Gebel | BuyNo90¢ → 99¢ | $1,643 | +$164 +10.0% | 17 |
| 99d | Anon321321 | Sergio Massa | BuyNo>99¢ → 88¢ | $1,038 | −$121 −12% | 10 |
| 99d | Anon321321 | Myriam Bregman | BuyNo99¢ | $1,030 | +$0 +0.0% | 11 |
| 99d | Anon321321 | Victoria Villarruel | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $1,037 | −$2 −0.2% | 10 |
| 99d | Anon321321 | Mauricio Macri | BuyNo100¢ | $1,036 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 99d | Anon321321 | Juan Schiaretti | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,039 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 99d | Anon321321 | Juan Grabois | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 106d | Bigggggggg | Juan Schiaretti | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 106d | Bigggggggg | Myriam Bregman | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $2,068 | −$17 −0.8% | 10 |
| 106d | Bigggggggg | Sergio Massa | BuyNo>99¢ → 88¢ | $2,065 | −$238 −12% | 10 |
| 106d | Bigggggggg | Esteban Bullrich | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 106d | Bigggggggg | Javier Milei | BuyNo50¢ → 53¢ | $1,029 | +$80 +7.8% | 30 |
| 106d | Bigggggggg | Victoria Villarruel | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $2,067 | −$5 −0.3% | 10 |
| 106d | Bigggggggg | Mauricio Macri | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,068 | −$0 −0.0% | 10 |
| 106d | Bigggggggg | Juan Grabois | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,065 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 116d | champi | Javier Milei | BuyYes50¢ → 47¢ | $2,000 | −$141 −7.0% | 30 |
| 132d | Spielman | Javier Milei | SellYes51¢ → 47¢ | $1,209 | +$113 +9.4% | — |
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 47¢ for Javier Milei means the market gives it about 47%.