| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 593,512 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $572,442 | +$102K +22% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 178,355 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $168,813 | +$7,494 +4.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 579,962 | 60¢ → 24¢ | $136,291 | −$210K −61% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 148,198 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $118,558 | −$3,511 −2.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 139,613 | 87¢ → 78¢ | $108,619 | −$12,813 −11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 108,923 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $86,049 | +$10,252 +14% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 12d | Yes | 313,400 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $79,917 | −$7,743 −8.8% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 106,000 | 85¢ → 65¢ | $68,900 | −$21,259 −24% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 48d | Yes | 80,000 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $60,400 | −$4,599 −7.1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 50,747 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $50,620 | +$2,965 +6.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 53,884 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $49,843 | +$7,054 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 50,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $46,250 | +$350 +0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $46,250 | +$400 +0.9% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 98d | No | 44,502 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $43,278 | +$8,578 +25% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50,000 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $38,250 | −$4,250 −10.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 33,000 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $32,225 | +$2,954 +10% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 474,305 | 30¢ → 7¢ | $30,830 | −$110K −78% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 28,693 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $28,090 | +$2,865 +11% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 26,910 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $26,627 | +$3,783 +17% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 24,022 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $24,010 | +$4,091 +21% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 20,744 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $20,246 | +$2,340 +13% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20,000 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $16,900 | −$800 −4.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 17,000 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $16,090 | +$1,241 +8.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 15,451 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $14,926 | +$399 +2.7% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 13,565 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $13,063 | +$68 +0.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 21,294 | 73¢ → 60¢ | $12,776 | −$2,734 −18% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 10,512 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $10,118 | +$397 +4.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 54d | Yes | 11,921 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $9,954 | +$39 +0.4% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 8,000 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $7,788 | +$303 +4.0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | No | 7,560 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $7,382 | +$53 +0.7% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 367d | Yes | 13,000 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $6,045 | −$325 −5.1% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 98d | No | 5,884 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $5,860 | +$903 +18% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5,000 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $4,913 | +$333 +7.3% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 5,000 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $4,815 | +$1,048 +28% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 5,000 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $4,750 | +$960 +25% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,730 | 70¢ → 99¢ | $4,699 | +$1,402 +43% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 20,000 | 22¢ → 23¢ | $4,600 | +$226 +5.2% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 4,700 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $4,395 | +$684 +18% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 5,000 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $4,175 | +$525 +14% |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 3,600 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $3,474 | +$207 +6.3% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 74d | Anthropic | 3,403 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $3,181 | +$84 +2.7% |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 2,902 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $2,837 | +$282 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20,577 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $2,778 | +$15 +0.5% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,681 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $2,646 | +$374 +16% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 2,500 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $2,450 | +$520 +27% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 435d | Anthropic | 2,504 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $2,365 | +$30 +1.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 2,300 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $2,239 | +$146 +7.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 32,000 | 18¢ → 7¢ | $2,080 | −$3,700 −64% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,876 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $1,845 | +$100 +5.8% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 1,200 | 66¢ → 96¢ | $1,151 | +$359 +45% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 966 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $935 | +$47 +5.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 47d | Yes | 1,246 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $916 | +$108 +13% |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 74d | Anthropic + OpenAI | 3,000 | 69¢ → 26¢ | $780 | −$1,290 −62% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,065 | 82¢ → 64¢ | $676 | −$195 −22% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 24d | Yes | 9,000 | 76¢ → 7¢ | $643 | −$6,196 −91% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 574 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $572 | +$23 +4.3% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 367d | No | 511 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $495 | +$35 +7.5% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,000 | 13¢ → 24¢ | $470 | +$200 +74% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,802 | 55¢ → 26¢ | $460 | −$532 −54% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 9,920 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $441 | −$848 −66% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 8,000 | 46¢ → 6¢ | $440 | −$3,224 −88% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 416 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $405 | +$60 +17% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 377 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $367 | +$85 +30% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 10,000 | 28¢ → 3¢ | $340 | −$2,507 −88% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 330 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $313 | +$37 +13% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,017 | 32¢ → 20¢ | $200 | −$121 −38% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | Yes | 400 | 44¢ → 49¢ | $196 | +$22 +13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 45¢ → 20¢ | $195 | −$253 −56% |
| Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil?Ends in 3d | No | 183 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $182 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 4,400 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $176 | −$2 −1.0% |
| Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?Ends in 3d | No | 166 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $164 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | Yes | 400 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $118 | −$26 −18% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 15,000 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $112 | −$937 −89% |
| Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil?Ends in 3d | No | 100 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $99 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,915 | 91¢ → 3¢ | $48 | −$1,697 −97% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 10 | 80¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$7 −86% |
