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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 77% | +4 pts | +23 pts | 76¢ · 78¢ (2¢) | $70.9K | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | Zoomman172 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SellMbappé65¢ → 77¢ | $3,676 | −$682 −19% | — |
| 2h | Diablox9 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SellMbappé76¢ → 77¢ | $1,693 | −$22 −1.3% | — |
| 3h | cp04 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal24¢ → 23¢ | $1,268 | −$66 −5.2% | 5 |
| 7h | FrankiST1 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé78¢ → 77¢ | $1,983 | −$28 −1.4% | 6 |
| 12h | Wobbly-Decisionmaking | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé75¢ → 77¢ | $1,239 | +$33 +2.7% | 5 |
| 1d | OuldLm3alem | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé75¢ → 77¢ | $2,883 | +$94 +3.3% | 7 |
| 1d | useruserlol5 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal42¢ → 23¢ | $7,839 | −$3,507 −45% | 13 |
| 2d | smthlki | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé74¢ → 77¢ | $1,500 | +$66 +4.4% | 5 |
| 2d | yohan75 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SellYamal27¢ → 23¢ | $1,389 | +$224 +16% | — |
| 2d | Aggravating-Lettuce-LocalNew account | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé69¢ → 77¢ | $6,217 | +$721 +12% | 23 |
| 2d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé66¢ → 77¢ | $5,836 | +$993 +17% | 11 |
| 3d |  woolen | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal32¢ → 23¢ | $1,000 | −$291 −29% | 5 |
| 4d | Runner109 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SellYamal27¢ → 23¢ | $1,133 | +$180 +16% | — |
| 4d | 0xFD74d4504299cCE1c537464BdD932F8a0e6bA2a | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé67¢ → 77¢ | $3,467 | +$507 +15% | 8 |
| 4d |  de5nuts3 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SellYamal39¢ → 23¢ | $7,016 | +$2,869 +41% | — |
| 4d | Lufelola3 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal45¢ → 23¢ | $4,080 | −$1,972 −48% | 9 |
| 4d | Rundown-Regard | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé60¢ → 77¢ | $2,100 | +$595 +28% | 6 |
| 5d | WenZhuanBuPei3 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé56¢ → 77¢ | $15,564 | +$5,758 +37% | 22 |
| 5d |  pup1 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé60¢ → 77¢ | $3,040 | +$833 +27% | 7 |
| 5d | cookedrice4 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé51¢ → 77¢ | $12,195 | +$6,181 +51% | 18 |
| 6d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing4 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal47¢ → 23¢ | $5,659 | −$2,870 −51% | 10 |
| 6d | VidenteRibeira6 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé53¢ → 77¢ | $27,245 | +$12,291 +45% | 24 |
| 6d | yohan75 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal45¢ → 23¢ | $1,175 | −$574 −49% | 5 |
| 7d | nonkenny902 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal46¢ → 23¢ | $3,889 | −$1,934 −50% | 8 |
| 7d |  3648393489047 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SellYamal43¢ → 23¢ | $1,570 | +$721 +46% | — |
| 7d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal50¢ → 23¢ | $3,201 | −$1,731 −54% | 8 |
| 7d | Parz1vaI | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé51¢ → 77¢ | $6,665 | +$3,388 +51% | 12 |
| 8d |  BigMackyG2 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal50¢ → 23¢ | $6,095 | −$3,314 −54% | 11 |
| 8d |  Outsid3rTrading | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal45¢ → 23¢ | $1,379 | −$674 −49% | 6 |
| 8d | 36483934890473 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal53¢ → 23¢ | $4,683 | −$2,636 −56% | 9 |
| 9d | Chonchitoooo | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SellYamal50¢ → 23¢ | $1,000 | +$540 +54% | — |
| 9d | mommydualipa | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal49¢ → 23¢ | $2,000 | −$1,053 −53% | 6 |
| 10d | Thin-Disclaimer-LifeNew account | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé57¢ → 77¢ | $31,195 | +$11,048 +35% | 36 |
| 10d | de5nuts4 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal51¢ → 23¢ | $6,803 | −$3,707 −54% | 12 |
| 10d | LamineCruise2 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal49¢ → 23¢ | $2,000 | −$1,065 −53% | 6 |
| 10d | Chonchitoooo | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal49¢ → 23¢ | $2,730 | −$1,450 −53% | 7 |
| 12d | neutralwave23 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyYamal49¢ → 23¢ | $2,118 | −$1,117 −53% | 6 |
| 13d | 0x86544e4dfde2 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé49¢ → 77¢ | $4,000 | +$2,261 +57% | 9 |
| 14d | Zoomman172 fills | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé46¢ → 77¢ | $2,800 | +$1,875 +67% | 7 |
pup120,000 sharesde5nuts21,172 sharesThis market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 77¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 77%.