Lufelola

Polymarket wallet 0x4a695874b7791dc042f2a1c9df629e40b132228f · on Polymarket since Aug 24, 2025 · also shown as Frightening-Trailpatrol

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $9.98K
All-time profit: −$6.15K
Volume traded: $109K
All-time rank: #3,188,561
Markets traded: 362
Recent hit rate: 76%38 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $9.98K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d	Yamal	17,226	40¢ → 25¢	$4,220	−$2,673 −39%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	Yes	2,738	73¢ → 76¢	$2,088	+$81 +4.0%
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	No	2,530	69¢ → 69¢	$1,745	−$4 −0.2%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?Ends in 69d	Kvaratskhelia	828	72¢ → 74¢	$608	+$8 +1.4%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	Yes	3,382	19¢ → 12¢	$406	−$252 −38%
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	No	203	72¢ → 89¢	$180	+$34 +23%
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	No	153	66¢ → 79¢	$121	+$20 +20%
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	Yes	751	15¢ → 16¢	$116	+$3 +2.2%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Erling Haaland or Jude Bellingham to finish higher?Ends in 69d	Haaland	143	63¢ → 82¢	$116	+$26 +29%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	No	153	66¢ → 74¢	$112	+$11 +11%
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	Yes	123	60¢ → 90¢	$110	+$37 +50%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 2d	Yes	150	67¢ → 71¢	$106	+$6 +6.2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d	Yes	100	42¢ → 40¢	$40	−$3 −6.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Ends in 2d	Yes	25	27¢ → 27¢	$7	−$0 −1.9%
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?Settled - ready to redeem	No	114	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$44 −100%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	98	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$29 −100%
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	62	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	126	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$72 −100%
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	21	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	89	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$55 −100%
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	139	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$85 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	52	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	124	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	103	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will Enzo Fernández score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	No	51	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$28 −100%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 7?Settled - ready to redeem	Down	75	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	64	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem	No	64	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	82	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	287	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$66 −100%
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	107	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$71 −100%
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Settled - ready to redeem	No	59	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	80	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	52	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Will Powell say "Money" during speech on October 14?Settled - ready to redeem	No	116	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$75 −100%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	42	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	52	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 26?Settled - ready to redeem	Up	31	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Settled - ready to redeem	No	31	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	126	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	No	101	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$74 −100%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,128	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$133 −100%
Will Trump say "Golf" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	111	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$63 −100%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Settled - ready to redeem	No	26	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Settled - ready to redeem	No	70	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Pedro Porro: 1+ shotsSettled - ready to redeem	No	24	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Settled - ready to redeem	No	26	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	60	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$29 −100%
Will Trump or Melania say "Youth" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?Settled - ready to redeem	No	26	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,493	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	32	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem	No	42	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 13 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	26	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	21	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	36	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	816	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$71 −100%
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	No	31	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Giron vs. Buse: Match O/U 40.5Settled - ready to redeem	Under	26	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	68	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem	No	153	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$55 −100%
Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	76	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$41 −100%
Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	63	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	32	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	44	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	52	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?Settled - ready to redeem	No	45	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	79	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	262	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$144 −100%
Will Alexander Blockx advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	41	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	52	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Will Trump say "IQ" during the America Business Forum on November 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	107	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$65 −100%
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	94	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will "Palestine" be said at the Oscars?Settled - ready to redeem	No	26	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Settled - ready to redeem	No	19	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	31	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
France vs. England: O/U 8.5Settled - ready to redeem	Under	81	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$58 −100%
Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Settled - ready to redeem	No	21	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	817	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$89 −100%
Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Settled - ready to redeem	No	31	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	41	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?Settled - ready to redeem	No	143	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?Settled - ready to redeem	No	72	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Will Trump say "Security" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	29	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	79	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	125	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shotsSettled - ready to redeem	No	61	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Trump say "Tango" this week? (August 25 - 31)Settled - ready to redeem	No	104	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Will Leroy Sané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	No	72	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	69	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	88	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	102	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$65 −100%
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Settled - ready to redeem	No	168	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$114 −100%
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will there be a Powerball jackpot winner by September 14?Settled - ready to redeem	No	91	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	150	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	4,500	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Mikel Merino score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	No	61	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Polish president on September 3?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	65	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
16h	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	BuyYes67¢	$100
16h	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	BuyYes27¢	$7
16h	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	BuyYes42¢	$42
17h	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	SellYes89¢	$114
17h	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
17h	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$5
1d	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes55¢	$15
1d	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$1
1d	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes54¢	$24
1d	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$2
1d	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$1
1d	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: Both Teams to Score AND CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Sell>99¢	$81
1d	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes43¢	$10
1d	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes29¢	$3
1d	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: Both Teams to Score AND CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Buy44¢	$37
1d	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5 AND AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5	Buy50¢	$21
1d	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$4
1d	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	BuyYamal30¢	$325
1d	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Buy46¢	$14
1d	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5 AND SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5	Sell>99¢	$44
1d	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5 AND SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5	Buy54¢	$25
1d	Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) AND Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Sell97¢	$24
1d	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes36¢	$9
1d	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	BuyYes36¢	$11
1d	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	BuyNo50¢	$10
1d	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	BuyNo46¢	$9
1d	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	BuyYes53¢	$16
1d	Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes70¢	$35
1d	Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) AND Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Buy49¢	$13
1d	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BuyNo76¢	$698
1d	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BuyYes77¢	$1,010
1d	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BuyYes15¢	$98
1d	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	BuyYamal28¢	$922
1d	Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	BuyKvaratskhelia72¢	$608
2d	Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score AND SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5	Buy46¢	$40
2d	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BuyYes16¢	$21
2d	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 AND Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 7.5	Buy48¢	$50
2d	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BuyYes19¢	$674
2d	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	SellNo25¢	$739
3d	Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes39¢	$16
3d	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5 AND Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Buy48¢	$15
3d	Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes28¢	$6
3d	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	BuyYes49¢	$29
3d	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 5.5 AND FC Porto vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5	Buy42¢	$18
3d	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	BuyYes54¢	$11
3d	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	BuyNo41¢	$9
3d	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	BuyYes57¢	$12
3d	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	BuyYes46¢	$10
3d	Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes52¢	$11
3d	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$36
3d	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	SellYes>99¢	$15
3d	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	SellNo>99¢	$47
4d	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Buy48¢	$10
4d	Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes48¢	$15
4d	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	BuyYes49¢	$8
4d	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	BuyNo22¢	$2
4d	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	BuyNo53¢	$8
4d	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes34¢	$22
4d	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 5.5 AND VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Buy47¢	$31
4d	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	BuyYamal34¢	$91

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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