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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 87% | — | +3 pts | 85¢ · 89¢ (4¢) | $62.5 | in 434d |
| July 31, 2027 | 34% | — | −1 pts | 32¢ · 35¢ (3¢) | — | in 280d |
| December 31, 2026 | 3% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | $214 | in 69d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 87¢ for December 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 87%.