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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 822d |  ping0125 | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 822d | gilbert | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo>99¢ | $13,513 | −$27 −0.2% | — |
| 822d | BobbyB3 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,986 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 823d |  WongKimArk2 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo>99¢ | $16,415 | −$30 −0.2% | — |
| 823d | SitsToPee | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,132 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 824d |  imp | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 824d | HsB34sgg | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,424 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 824d | HsB34sgg | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,431 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 825d | 0xmaniac4 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,159 | +$56 +0.5% | 20 |
| 827d | JishWa | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,484 | −$297 −1.1% | — |
| 827d | gilbert | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,753 | +$247 +0.7% | 20 |
| 828d | Breezy-Entrance | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | +$30 +0.6% | 20 |
| 828d |  MineGuyBonds | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo100¢ | $25,278 | +$127 +0.5% | 20 |
| 828d | Kellerman12 | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,356 | −$25 −0.3% | — |
| 829d |  elmcap2 | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,123 | +$21 +1.0% | 20 |
| 829d | JishWa11 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $45,375 | +$3,226 +7.1% | 20 |
| 830d |  zalkida | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | −$83 −7.5% | — |
| 832d |  scottilicious2 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $26,186 | −$1,768 −6.8% | — |
| 832d | Kellerman12 | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,012 | +$369 +5.3% | 20 |
| 834d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$294 +12% | 20 |
| 834d |  50Whence2 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,685 | +$520 +14% | 20 |
| 836d |  rationalpositiveev | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$75 +6.4% | 20 |
| 837d |  truthteller2 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,587 | +$205 +5.7% | 20 |
| 838d |  ImJustKen | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,721 | +$174 +6.4% | 20 |
| 838d | scottilicious4 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $50,000 | +$2,452 +4.9% | 20 |
| 839d | WongKimArk3 fills | Biden nominated by July 21? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,744 | +$460 +9.7% | 20 |
| 842d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Biden nominated by July 21? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$202 −16% | — |
According to reports, the Democratic National Committee is considering formally nominating President Joe Biden on July 21, 2024, to secure his place on the presidential ballot and quash intra-party speculation about a potential replacement (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-01/democrats-weigh-early-biden-nomination-to-squash-talk-of-a-swap). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate by July 21, 2024 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the Democratic National Committee however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used .
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.