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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  ULYSSES18 | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,627 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d |  elmcap2 | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | +$28 +1.1% | 4 |
| 327d | f2hf84hg52h5 | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,646 | +$75 +2.1% | 4 |
| 330d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$52 +4.2% | 4 |
| 334d | CaptainJackSparro | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$69 +5.3% | 4 |
| 459d | Changer321 | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$128 +12% | 4 |
| 572d | Alvarion | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $11,198 | +$11,198 +100% | — |
| 572d | Aelivara | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $58,790 | +$11,198 +19% | 4 |
| 629d | goldingboy | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$426 +25% | 4 |
| 643d | Table34LightMouse | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | −$418 −30% | — |
| 660d | gandalf | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,556 | −$1,556 −100% | 6 |
| 660d | dearchang3l | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 660d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Bird flu vaccine in 2025? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$429 +41% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any vaccine intended for humans and inoculating against H5N1 receives full FDA approval between January 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the FDA, including their official list of approved vaccines (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.