| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 300 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$91 +47% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 272 | 35¢ → 97¢ | $263 | +$169 +180% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 13d | Yes | 269 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $246 | +$35 +17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 290 | 5¢ → 77¢ | $223 | +$208 +1378% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 206 | 17¢ → 99¢ | $203 | +$167 +472% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 206 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $197 | +$21 +12% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 238 | 29¢ → 79¢ | $187 | +$118 +170% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 1,299 | 5¢ → 14¢ | $186 | +$117 +170% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 134 | 63¢ → 94¢ | $125 | +$41 +48% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 146 | 55¢ → 84¢ | $122 | +$42 +52% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 1,465 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $97 | +$22 +29% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 562 | 25¢ → 16¢ | $92 | −$46 −34% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 89 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $88 | +$10 +13% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 90 | 73¢ → 97¢ | $87 | +$21 +33% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 83 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $83 | +$6 +8.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 84 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $82 | +$8 +10% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 829 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $81 | −$69 −46% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 78 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $77 | +$7 +9.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | No | 86 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $73 | −$1 −0.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 72 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $69 | +$10 +17% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 67 | 62¢ → 94¢ | $62 | +$21 +51% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 2,016 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $54 | −$10 −15% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 13d | Yes | 81 | 45¢ → 67¢ | $54 | +$17 +48% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | No | 81 | 53¢ → 66¢ | $53 | +$10 +23% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 52 | 78¢ → >99¢ | $52 | +$11 +28% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 51 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $50 | +$4 +9.2% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 45d | No | 50 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$7 +17% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | No | 52 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 51 | 61¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$17 +56% |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 46 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $45 | +$2 +3.9% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 131d | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 83¢ | $40 | +$30 +293% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$6 +18% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 37 | 41¢ → 97¢ | $36 | +$20 +135% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 46 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $35 | +$7 +23% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 38 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $34 | +$5 +15% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 130d | No | 38 | 55¢ → 89¢ | $34 | +$13 +62% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 35 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.9% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 34 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $33 | +$3 +8.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 13d | Yes | 48 | 39¢ → 67¢ | $32 | +$13 +72% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 6d | Yes | 205 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $32 | −$9 −22% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 42 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $32 | −$2 −6.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | No | 38 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $31 | −$3 −7.5% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 32 | 63¢ → 98¢ | $31 | +$11 +56% |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 32 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $31 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 32 | 63¢ → 97¢ | $31 | +$11 +55% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 32 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 13d | No | 32 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $29 | +$5 +20% |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 30 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$3 +10% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 31 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$4 +18% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 30 | 68¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$8 +40% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 29 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $28 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 29 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $27 | +$4 +15% |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 27 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 33 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $27 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 27 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $27 | +$3 +12% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | No | 28 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $26 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 28 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $26 | +$4 +21% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 1,043 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $26 | +$9 +50% |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 27 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $25 | +$4 +18% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 28 | 73¢ → 91¢ | $25 | +$5 +25% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 131d | No | 25 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $24 | +$4 +20% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 161d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $23 | +$3 +16% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 131d | Yes | 135 | 43¢ → 17¢ | $22 | −$36 −62% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 110 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 13d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $22 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 28 | 56¢ → 77¢ | $22 | +$6 +37% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 114 | 43¢ → 19¢ | $22 | −$27 −56% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 22 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $22 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Ends in 70d | No | 21 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Ends in 131d | No | 21 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 13d | No | 23 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.6% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 22 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 13d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,545 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $21 | −$43 −67% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 13d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$2 +9.4% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 19 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 19 | 52¢ → 94¢ | $18 | +$8 +80% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 28 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $18 | −$2 −10% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 18 | 57¢ → 96¢ | $17 | +$7 +68% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 13d | Yes | 59 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $16 | −$3 −14% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 36 | 38¢ → 44¢ | $16 | +$2 +14% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 17 | 73¢ → 93¢ | $16 | +$3 +26% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 16 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $15 | +$3 +25% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | No | 43 | 46¢ → 36¢ | $15 | −$5 −23% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 5d | No | 14 | 70¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$4 +37% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 91 | 58¢ → 15¢ | $14 | −$39 −74% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 130d | No | 13 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $12 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 154 | 24¢ → 8¢ | $12 | −$25 −67% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $12 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | No | 13 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $12 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Ends in 71d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $12 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 11 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +12% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 11 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.9% |
