| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5,000 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $4,725 | +$510 +12% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5,000 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $4,175 | +$46 +1.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 3,001 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $2,806 | +$84 +3.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,500 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $2,441 | +$89 +3.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,001 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $1,952 | +$110 +6.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,918 | +$120 +6.7% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,701 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,641 | +$77 +5.0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d | No | 1,500 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $1,459 | +$117 +8.7% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,500 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,453 | +$33 +2.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,500 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,452 | +$60 +4.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,500 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $1,291 | +$202 +19% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,200 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,174 | +$10 +0.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,500 | 56¢ → 76¢ | $1,141 | +$306 +37% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $993 | +$60 +6.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $979 | +$26 +2.7% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $976 | +$15 +1.5% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,001 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $975 | +$29 +3.0% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $967 | +$65 +7.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $966 | +$47 +5.1% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $955 | +$21 +2.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $935 | +$29 +3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 1,001 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $926 | +$48 +5.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 1,001 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $926 | +$29 +3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,001 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $926 | +$51 +5.8% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $925 | +$48 +5.5% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $915 | +$33 +3.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,000 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $885 | +$232 +36% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 62¢ → 88¢ | $875 | +$252 +40% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $867 | −$12 −1.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $865 | +$95 +12% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 1,000 | 27¢ → 65¢ | $645 | +$375 +139% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 700 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $641 | +$60 +10% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $519 | −$3 −0.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $496 | +$4 +0.8% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 501 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $493 | +$22 +4.6% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $488 | +$37 +8.3% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 68d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $488 | +$25 +5.3% |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $487 | +$22 +4.7% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $486 | +$7 +1.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $485 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 500 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $484 | +$30 +6.7% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 501 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $483 | +$32 +7.0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $482 | +$19 +4.1% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $481 | +$14 +3.0% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $480 | +$16 +3.3% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $479 | +$12 +2.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $478 | +$19 +4.0% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $475 | +$21 +4.6% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 500 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $474 | +$15 +3.3% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $473 | +$4 +0.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $473 | +$21 +4.7% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $472 | −$7 −1.5% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 500 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $468 | +$29 +6.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $468 | +$34 +7.7% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 73d | Anthropic | 501 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $466 | +$30 +6.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 500 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $463 | +$93 +25% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $463 | +$49 +12% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $458 | +$7 +1.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $458 | +$65 +16% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $458 | +$12 +2.6% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 501 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $453 | +$14 +3.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 500 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $453 | +$18 +4.0% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 250d | No | 500 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $451 | +$18 +4.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 501 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$11 +2.6% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,000 | 43¢ → 44¢ | $441 | +$12 +2.7% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 501 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $438 | +$10 +2.4% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 500 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $435 | +$117 +37% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $423 | +$8 +1.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 500 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $418 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 500 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $418 | +$27 +6.8% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 500 | 95¢ → 82¢ | $408 | −$68 −14% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $408 | −$19 −4.6% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $387 | +$39 +11% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 600 | 77¢ → 63¢ | $379 | −$84 −18% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 500 | 0¢ → 75¢ | $375 | +$375 +0.0% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $362 | −$4 −1.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 500 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $352 | +$12 +3.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 337 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $328 | +$9 +2.7% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 500 | 75¢ → 63¢ | $315 | −$58 −16% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 308 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $302 | +$17 +5.8% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 310 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $300 | +$9 +2.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $294 | +$6 +2.1% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$11 +4.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$9 +3.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $290 | +$26 +9.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $290 | +$5 +1.7% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $289 | +$27 +10% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $289 | +$11 +4.0% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$14 +5.3% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 300 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$14 +4.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$15 +5.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 301 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$14 +5.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $287 | +$13 +4.8% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $285 | +$14 +5.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 300 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $285 | +$19 +7.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$10 +3.7% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $281 | −$3 −0.9% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 300 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$25 +9.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$8 +2.7% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 300 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $278 | −$3 −1.1% |
