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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August | 87% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 82¢ · 92¢ (10¢) | $1.81 | in 69d |
| December | 7% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 9¢ (4¢) | $0.4 | in 69d |
| November | 5% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | $0.5 | in 69d |
| October | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $492 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,901 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 62d | Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | +$209 +6.6% | 2 | |
| 71d | December | BuyNo83¢ → 93¢ | $2,374 | +$288 +12% | 5 | |
| 121d | Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,451 | +$71 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 131d | Watchful-Fund | November | SellNo73¢ → 95¢ | $1,310 | −$410 −31% | — |
| 145d | Will May be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,303 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 145d | cryptoincome | Will May be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,501 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 147d | KURAKAO | Will May be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,310 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 176d | Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,430 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 206d | turkxbt2 fills | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $83,900 | +$105 +0.1% | 2 |
| 206d | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $79,873 | +$414 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 206d | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $69,869 | +$575 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 209d | bitcoinmafia | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 220d | OptionK | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 229d | favorite-gadget | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 229d | dawn-plunge-flash | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | −$11 −0.7% | — |
| 229d | Woolsq53 | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 229d | rocketos54 | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 229d | pearey96 | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 230d | enrico-vasaio | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,771 | +$27 +0.7% | 2 |
| 235d | Watchful-FundNew account | November | BuyNo84¢ → 95¢ | $2,611 | +$356 +14% | 6 |
| 237d | Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,675 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 237d | Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,285 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 237d | Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,389 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 87¢ for August means the market gives it about 87%.