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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 474d | lowrisk242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 474d | Stantheman-192 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,360 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 474d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $7,342 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 474d | moony6 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,204 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 474d | AhmedTheZebl | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,364 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 474d | Sharky6999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,811 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 474d | Besiege2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $6,018 | −$74 −1.2% | — |
| 474d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $10,416 | +$397 +3.8% | 2 |
| 474d | spypigeon | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 474d | Besiege7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $16,867 | +$3,857 +23% | 4 |
| 474d | brr694206 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $17,576 | +$10,788 +61% | 4 |
| 474d | rdwyegb | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$60 −3.1% | — |
| 474d | Mumen | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | −$141 −6.3% | — |
| 474d | jjin1112 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,695 | +$128 +7.5% | 3 |
| 474d | rdwyegb | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 3 |
| 474d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $4,794 | −$628 −13% | — |
| 474d | AhmedTheZebl | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$109 +8.7% | 3 |
| 474d |  VinnyViral6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $19,810 | +$2,222 +11% | 3 |
| 474d | moony6 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$133 +12% | 3 |
| 474d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $2,340 | +$660 +28% | 4 |
| 474d | brr6942012 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $19,137 | −$19,137 −100% | 6 |
| 474d | brr694205 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp53¢ → 100¢ | $9,814 | −$8,866 −90% | — |
| 474d |  manwithahat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$864 +79% | 5 |
| 474d | brr694209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellDown56¢ → 0¢ | $17,953 | +$17,953 +100% | — |
| 474d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellDown48¢ → 0¢ | $3,307 | +$3,307 +100% | — |
| 474d | precision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $7,054 | −$7,054 −100% | 4 |
| 474d | naustrasni | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellDown62¢ → 0¢ | $1,383 | +$1,383 +100% | — |
| 474d | manwithahat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $2,430 | −$2,430 −100% | 4 |
| 475d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $2,964 | +$2,458 +83% | 4 |
| 475d | naustrasni | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $1,201 | −$1,201 −100% | 4 |
| 475d | Aachau | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $2,913 | −$2,913 −100% | 4 |
| 475d | 0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 4 |
| 475d | reikano | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$1,167 +96% | 3 |
| 475d | sww882 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $3,518 | −$3,518 −100% | 3 |
| 475d | swoswo882 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,596 | +$3,455 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 5 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 6 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 5 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 6 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
