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Polymarket wallet 0xb4077a87944d235f2492382ab9300584a54c6db5 · on Polymarket since Feb 22, 2025 · also shown as Firsthand-Nitrogen
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Grok 4 released by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 71 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 750 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 474d | Grok 4 released by December 31? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 474d | Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 474d | Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 474d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 474d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 474d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 474d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.