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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,916 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | MotherMarywithus | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,987 | −$40 −1.0% | — |
| 401d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 401d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,916 | +$484 +12% | 3 |
| 401d | easyclap6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $20,424 | +$6,636 +32% | 4 |
| 401d | Durrrrrrr | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$126 −11% | — |
| 401d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $6,072 | +$1,428 +24% | 3 |
| 401d | muzidf | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | −$298 −22% | — |
| 402d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $8,897 | −$8,897 −100% | 8 |
| 402d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $7,757 | −$7,757 −100% | 9 | |
| 402d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $13,077 | +$4,808 +37% | 4 | |
| 402d | MasterSplinter05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,194 | +$1,194 +100% | — |
| 402d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellUp57¢ → 100¢ | $2,251 | −$1,698 −75% | — |
| 402d | 0xfb1c…963e | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$600 +25% | 4 |
| 402d | macarena | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $2,957 | +$649 +22% | 4 |
| 402d | MiddyFi | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 4 |
| 402d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$6,443 +81% | 3 | |
| 402d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $2,028 | −$2,028 −100% | 4 | |
| 402d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 4 |
| 402d | iamgone3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $5,339 | −$5,339 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 15 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 16 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 15 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 16 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.