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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Paz | 100% | +44 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luis Arce | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrónico Rodríguez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Samuel Doria Medina | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manfred Reyes Villa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | 0% | −43 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chi Hyun Chung | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jaime Dunn | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jhonny Fernández | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Antonio Saravia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gualberto Cusi Mamani | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruth Nina | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Evo Morales | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Mesa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luis Fernando Camacho | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Branko Marinković | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| María Galindo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rubén Costas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Eduardo del Castillo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eva Copa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | oVyg7f | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,135 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | JOHNOO | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $10,989 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | AA80 | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,161 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  Proffie | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,209 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  recover6500 | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | Studlabestia | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,562 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  Bot5870 | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,900 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  aldynspeedruns | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $4,986 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  asfdtagsdg | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,373 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | challenger1 | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,541 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  Riximoncadacoookedme | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,312 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 369d | Luisfero16 | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $3,176 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 369d |  Ahpo2 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,102 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 369d | eutron | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,094 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 369d | mattwinning | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $3,482 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 369d |  uncleroger2 fills | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $19,413 | −$37 −0.2% | — |
| 369d |  Flipadelphia5 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $73,976 | +$381 +0.5% | 10 |
| 369d |  cookiejar | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $170,201 | +$170 +0.1% | 10 |
| 369d |  AdolfHitter | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,718 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 369d |  maxtkz | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,473 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 369d | Po45 | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $3,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 369d |  JoachimPeiper | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,539 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 369d | Bink | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | newpcfund | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,611 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 369d | Ac91 | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $7,566 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 369d | Complex-VeinNew account | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,166 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 369d |  WoAiChiDiBao | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,109 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 369d | Generator | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $8,748 | −$35 −0.4% | — |
| 369d |  ScottyNooo5 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $25,671 | +$1,148 +4.5% | 10 |
| 369d | Steel-Emanate | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $8,731 | −$35 −0.4% | — |
| 369d | Alpha-Seeker6 fills | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $18,139 | −$645 −3.6% | — |
| 369d | unknown00773 fills | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,698 | −$51 −0.6% | — |
| 369d | VvVv | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,431 | +$13 +0.3% | 10 |
| 369d |  debased6 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $38,922 | +$1,367 +3.5% | 10 |
| 369d | pz-o | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,281 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 369d |  01mn23zx | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $85,601 | −$317 −0.4% | — |
| 369d |  exquisitecook | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $4,837 | −$19 −0.4% | — |
| 369d |  DirkDiggler67 | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,906 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 369d | debased | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,594 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 369d | oVyg7f4 fills | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,088 | +$110 +2.2% | 10 |
| 369d | Flipadelphia | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,175 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 369d | XYZ37 | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,178 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 369d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,756 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 369d |  24User-f15cv | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $5,235 | −$21 −0.4% | — |
| 369d | hulu2 fills | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,382 | −$102 −1.1% | — |
| 369d | quanterty2 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $128,800 | +$420 +0.3% | 10 |
| 369d |  BFBB | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo>99¢ | $2,477 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 369d | asfgh2 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,481 | +$65 +0.3% | 10 |
| 369d | BFBB | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes>99¢ | $5,367 | −$21 −0.4% | — |
| 369d |  DickTurbin | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,591 | +$8 +0.3% | 10 |
| 369d | wubddh | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,012 | +$30 +0.3% | 10 |
| 369d | hulu | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,768 | −$53 −0.6% | — |
| 369d | Gripping-JealousyNew account | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 369d | Perfumed-RockerNew account | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,636 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 369d | scrapbook3 fills | Rodrigo Paz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $57,711 | −$669 −1.2% | — |
| 369d | almost-never | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $25,188 | +$254 +1.0% | 10 |
| 369d | cigarettes20 fills | Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $98,361 | +$25,682 +26% | 10 |
| 369d | xhinra37 | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,820 | +$180 +0.9% | 10 |
| 369d | almost-never2 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,803 | +$297 +1.0% | 10 |
| 369d |  pup12 fills | Rodrigo Paz | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,622 | +$238 +2.8% | 10 |
General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on 17 August 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Rodrigo Paz means the market gives it about 100%.