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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d |  LlamaEnjoyer | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,697 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d | rpo | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d |  pirateshere | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,052 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d |  Skankhunt42. | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,395 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 590d |  CDO-Manager2 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,117 | +$81 +2.0% | 10 |
| 590d | 0x4540D662B6EC203903785BaF58E3c644B1c21E64 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,864 | +$183 +1.7% | 10 |
| 590d |  mombil | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,935 | +$69 +1.7% | 10 |
| 590d |  Aurik | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$39 +2.0% | 10 |
| 590d |  occasionalAwareness | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,913 | +$87 +2.2% | 10 |
| 592d | CDO-Manager2 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,176 | −$420 −10% | — |
| 602d | 315182091412 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,263 | −$339 −3.7% | — |
| 605d | Barcide | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$38 +1.5% | 10 |
| 607d | TRUMPSTA | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,553 | −$26 −1.7% | — |
| 607d | 315182091414 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,596 | +$184 +1.4% | 10 |
| 607d | semi | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$254 +19% | 10 |
| 607d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac862 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,016 | +$247 +8.2% | 10 |
| 607d | tommie00 | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$118 +11% | 10 |
| 607d |  ciro2 | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | −$520 −35% | — |
| 607d |  TomSawyer-0304 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $10,359 | −$5,400 −52% | — |
| 607d | iamgone | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | −$503 −33% | — |
| 607d | iamgone | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$800 +54% | 10 |
| 607d | TomSawyer-0305 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $10,109 | +$4,371 +43% | 10 |
| 607d | noslajre2 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,302 | +$587 +18% | 10 |
| 608d | ciro2 | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,599 | +$1,401 +54% | 10 |
| 608d | RobXK | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,444 | +$973 +28% | 10 |
| 608d | lava-lava4 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $7,969 | −$7,969 −100% | 14 |
| 608d | Modern-QuiverNew account | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $6,924 | −$6,924 −100% | 10 |
| 608d | occasionalAwareness | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,925 | +$2,925 +100% | — |
| 608d |  Tenebrus7 | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,582 | +$1,722 +67% | 10 |
| 608d |  Parz1vaI | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$435 +41% | 10 |
| 608d | DavidS0909 | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,112 | −$1,112 −100% | 10 |
| 608d | occasionalAwareness | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $2,831 | −$2,831 −100% | 15 |
| 609d | LapsangSouchong | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$462 −39% | — |
| 609d |  DemonCore | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | −$553 −39% | — |
| 610d |  khatai | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,644 | +$582 +35% | 14 |
| 610d | Parz1vaI | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$433 −39% | — |
| 612d | Skankhunt42. | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | +$529 +36% | 12 |
| 616d |  Coram_Deo | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | +$1,227 +100% | — |
| 617d | LapsangSouchong | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$642 +61% | 10 |
| 624d | Kapii2 fills | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $5,278 | +$3,772 +71% | 10 |
TimeTraveler7,937 shares
Biasface3,470 sharesGerman Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance – Reason and Justice (BSW, Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht – Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit) wins 5% or more of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.