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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Ma | 96% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 95¢ · 97¢ (2¢) | — | in 11d |
| Oliver Ma | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $25 | in 11d |
| Janelle Kellman | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 11d |
| Ebie Lynch | 1% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 11d |
| Josh Fryday | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $12 | in 11d |
| David Fennell | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 11d |
| Sean Collinson | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 11d |
| Jeyson Lopez | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 11d |
| Rakesh Christian | <1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 11d |
| David Collenberg | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 11d |
| Michael Tubbs | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134d |  Hyperlong | Fiona Ma | BuyYes90¢ → 96¢ | $1,001 | +$68 +6.8% | 10 |
Hyperlong2,024 shares
PeterStuyvesant60 shares
Dr.PNL200 shares
DuneMentat139 sharesThis market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 96¢ for Fiona Ma means the market gives it about 96%.