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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 26 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 24 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d |  LinaBell | February 28 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 239d |  PredictionYogi | February 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,626 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | Smoggy-Nose | February 26 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,089 | +$51 +1.6% | 20 |
| 240d | chaosj88 | February 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 242d | Smoggy-Nose2 fills | February 24 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,421 | +$74 +3.1% | 20 |
| 243d |  vinii | February 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 243d |  bamesjond | February 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,254 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 243d | chaosj88 | February 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
bjprolo100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for February 22 means the market gives it about 0%.