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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $253 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $19,453 | −$174 −0.9% | — | |
| 52d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $33,059 | +$1,038 +3.1% | 8 | |
| 55d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,247 | −$37 −1.7% | — | |
| 104d | noob1904 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,029 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 104d | MirAsifAhr | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,161 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 108d | selador2 fills | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $9,612 | −$153 −1.6% | — |
| 111d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $5,817 | +$226 +3.9% | 8 | |
| 112d | Alegrandebig2 fills | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $2,336 | +$105 +4.5% | 8 |
| 113d | selador4 fills | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $18,600 | +$930 +5.0% | 9 |
| 116d | Scrimpy | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 98¢ | $5,824 | −$358 −6.1% | — |
| 135d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 98¢ | $1,113 | −$68 −6.1% | — | |
| 135d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 98¢ | $1,180 | −$72 −6.1% | — | |
| 144d | ktv.bond | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $2,560 | +$157 +6.1% | 9 |
| 146d | MirAsifAhr | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,092 | +$80 +7.3% | 10 |
| 149d | Rmimo2020PM | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellYes8¢ → 2¢ | $1,578 | +$1,115 +71% | — |
| 149d | VICTORMAX77 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellYes8¢ → 2¢ | $3,485 | +$2,401 +69% | — |
| 150d | VICTORMAX772 fills | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes10¢ → 2¢ | $2,000 | −$1,533 −77% | 29 |
| 151d | BetPure | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ → 2¢ | $2,000 | −$1,413 −71% | 29 |
| 151d | Naropoly | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,860 | +$93 +5.0% | 9 |
| 152d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 98¢ | $2,753 | −$169 −6.1% | — | |
| 155d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $3,000 | +$150 +5.0% | 9 | |
| 158d | noob1904 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $1,315 | +$81 +6.1% | 9 |
| 159d | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $2,086 | +$152 +7.3% | 10 | |
| 159d | Darling-Top | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,183 | +$86 +7.3% | 10 |
| 160d | PassiveStrike | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,521 | +$76 +5.0% | 9 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 2%.