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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 2,567 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $2,497 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,500 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $2,441 | +$151 +6.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 539 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $530 | +$6 +1.1% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 392 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $366 | +$40 +12% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 189 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $173 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 286 | 74¢ → 21¢ | $59 | −$152 −72% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 275 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $56 | −$18 −24% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 39 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $35 | +$3 +8.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | Yes | 89 | 88¢ → 24¢ | $21 | −$57 −73% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.