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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360-379 | 100% | +83 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | −7 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 320-339 | 0% | −11 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 340-359 | 0% | −52 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 380-399 | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-519 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 520-539 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 540-559 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 560-579 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 580+ | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241d |  abhionpoly | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,111 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  noreasapa | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,985 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Joethebirria125 | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $35,314 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  bigguy4u | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,161 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  Nikolai416 | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,390 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | niceShare | 340-359 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,566 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Enrike | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,573 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  500AndADream | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,148 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | 500AndADream | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,030 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  0000000000000000000000K | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,427 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Icannotwin | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,000 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | 0xf328…2b78 | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,414 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  dushen88 | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Poiuztrewq | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,797 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  Elonurmom | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  Zenef2 | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,311 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | dudukos | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,421 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | hlopack | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,349 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Tagan1 | 360-379 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 241d | iipera | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 241d |  ghostfaded | 360-379 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 241d | mintchocolate | 340-359 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,391 | −$54 −1.0% | — |
| 241d | diablocabron | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,479 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 241d |  Romeo005 | 360-379 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 241d | sb911 | 360-379 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,289 | −$84 −1.0% | — |
| 241d |  jesterthegoose3 fills | 360-379 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $18,833 | +$5,043 +27% | 27 |
| 241d | 0000000000000000000000K2 fills | 360-379 | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $2,862 | +$3,923 +137% | 27 |
| 241d | kannanhome | 360-379 | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$429 −38% | — |
| 241d | 0000000000000000000000K | 340-359 | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 32 |
| 241d |  crvAlex | 340-359 | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,154 | +$1,154 +100% | — |
| 241d | Acidic-Stretch | 360-379 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$222 +21% | 26 |
| 241d | rated2 fills | 380-399 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,102 | +$47 +2.2% | 21 |
| 241d | geraldhew89 | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 241d | GOODLUCK.. | 340-359 | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,856 | +$1,856 +100% | — |
| 241d |  Annica | 360-379 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$349 +35% | 29 |
| 241d | ejz101 | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,528 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | jesterthegoose2 fills | 340-359 | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | +$2,438 +112% | 30 |
| 241d | k7sh | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,927 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Profitable-Violation | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,585 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  PredictionYogi | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,989 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Pungent-Almanac | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | WCWS | 420-439 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | WCWS | 440-459 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Salwin | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,022 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 241d |  C78123 | 340-359 | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,656 | +$1,656 +100% | — |
| 241d | zuzula | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,127 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 241d | Funny-Speakerphone | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,653 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 241d | Annica2 fills | 340-359 | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $3,621 | −$3,621 −100% | 30 |
| 241d | Annica2 fills | 340-359 | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,511 | +$2,511 +100% | — |
| 241d | abhionpoly | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,586 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 241d | dudukos4 fills | 340-359 | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $5,971 | +$5,971 +100% | — |
| 241d | rated2 fills | 400-419 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,101 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
| 241d | Cipry | 340-359 | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,427 | +$1,427 +100% | — |
| 241d | 0xf328…2b78 | 360-379 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$1,581 +113% | 30 |
| 241d | agrarward | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,109 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | agrarward | 380-399 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,507 | −$116 −1.2% | — |
| 241d | dudukos | 360-379 | SellNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,477 | +$1,477 +100% | — |
| 241d |  0xzfl | 340-359 | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 23 |
| 241d |  eI0zwvzk | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,407 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 242d |  Benwen | 340-359 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $2,704 | −$2,704 −100% | 25 |
DefibyShrey16,390 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 17 12:00 PM ET to February 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 360-379 means the market gives it about 100%.