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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishiba - Japan PM | 100% | +2 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netanyahu - Israel PM | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Albanese - Australia PM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| al-Sharaa - Syria President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Starmer - UK PM | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maduro - Venezuela President | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Macron - France President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Newsom - California Governor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Meloni - Italy PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| el-Sisi - Egypt President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lula da Silva - Brazil President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milei - Argentina President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin - Russia President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xi - General Secretary of CCP | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump - USA President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| None in 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erdoğan - Türkiye President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kim - Supreme Leader of NK | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 368d | endxd | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 368d |  SuAlteza | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes>99¢ | $1,204 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 368d | GigaBrainConsulting | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes>99¢ | $1,082 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 368d |  debased2 fills | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $43,571 | +$44 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | tutrucks2 fills | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes>99¢ | $17,380 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 368d |  tsys88888 | Xi - General Secretary of CCP | SellNo>99¢ | $2,192 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 368d | goodhappen | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes>99¢ | $1,149 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 368d | haraya2 fills | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes>99¢ | $4,468 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 368d |  abracadabr | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 368d |  JJo2 fills | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,029 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d |  ThePortrait | Xi - General Secretary of CCP | SellNo>99¢ | $1,513 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 368d |  brodiaga | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,769 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | cavils | Albanese - Australia PM | SellNo>99¢ | $1,198 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 368d |  vaxastadnyk | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,279 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 368d | cnfiguridofjnfke | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,127 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | onekey09 | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | uuuur | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | sdiff123 | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,564 | +$40 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | zaojun | None in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,427 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | zaojun | Maduro - Venezuela President | SellNo>99¢ | $4,894 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 368d | zaojun | Maduro - Venezuela President | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,899 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | pantomime | Xi - General Secretary of CCP | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,335 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | pantomime | None in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d |  Chims2 fills | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes>99¢ | $2,906 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 368d | rated8 fills | Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,668 | +$22 +0.2% | 4 |
| 368d | rated10 fills | Maduro - Venezuela President | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,011 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 |
| 368d | rated9 fills | None in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,199 | +$25 +0.2% | 4 |
| 368d | Warlike-Horn5 fills | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,691 | +$45 +0.3% | 4 |
| 368d |  Cookedtan13 fills | Maduro - Venezuela President | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,677 | +$64 +0.3% | 4 |
| 368d | Cookedtan5 fills | Xi - General Secretary of CCP | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,339 | +$57 +0.5% | 4 |
| 368d | Cookedtan14 fills | Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,463 | +$96 +0.4% | 4 |
| 368d | Cookedtan14 fills | None in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,496 | +$63 +0.2% | 4 |
| 368d | rated4 fills | Xi - General Secretary of CCP | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,953 | +$36 +0.7% | 4 |
| 368d | tinman2 | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,980 | +$30 +0.6% | 4 |
| 368d | guaguagua | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,236 | +$26 +0.6% | 4 |
| 368d | guaguagua | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,232 | −$50 −1.2% | — |
| 368d | GigaBrainConsulting | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 |
| 368d | Bradwin140 | Ishiba - Japan PM | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,293 | −$39 −0.9% | — |
| 368d | ThePortrait | Xi - General Secretary of CCP | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 368d |  scottilicious7 fills | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $32,878 | +$728 +2.2% | 4 |
| 368d | ThePortrait | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$14 +0.8% | 4 |
| 368d |  DonationsReceiver | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$25 +2.0% | 4 |
| 368d | tmry-st | None in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 368d | tmry-st2 fills | Albanese - Australia PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,163 | +$39 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | tmry-st | Albanese - Australia PM | SellNo>99¢ | $29,940 | −$60 −0.2% | — |
| 368d | tmry-st | Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | SellNo>99¢ | $24,975 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 368d | tmry-st | Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,975 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d | LinusB3 fills | Ishiba - Japan PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,214 | +$61 +1.2% | 4 |
| 368d | cavils | Albanese - Australia PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d |  archaic | Xi - General Secretary of CCP | SellNo>99¢ | $1,582 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 369d | products4 fills | Maduro - Venezuela President | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,447 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 369d | rated7 fills | Trump - USA President | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,966 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | products4 fills | Xi - General Secretary of CCP | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,625 | +$46 +0.8% | 4 |
| 369d | Cookedtan9 fills | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,395 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | rated4 fills | Macron - France President | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,835 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | products3 fills | Kim - Supreme Leader of NK | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,450 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | products4 fills | Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,648 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | rated4 fills | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,024 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | products2 fills | None in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,542 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 369d | rated5 fills | Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,534 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
🔶-7|-🔶Z_🔶[]|-🔶6,596 shares
CrewKings6,419 sharesThis market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ishiba - Japan PM means the market gives it about 100%.