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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levon Aronian | 100% | +79 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Magnus Carlsen | 0% | −77 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vincent Keymer | 0% | −15 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hans Niemann | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 0% | −17 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317d |  formernorrisfan | Vincent Keymer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,805 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | formernorrisfan | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,232 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d |  Leonid-Sport | Vincent Keymer | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 318d | iamgone | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,416 | −$1,416 −100% | 12 |
| 318d |  NadyaSuleman | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $2,332 | −$2,332 −100% | 12 |
| 318d | ckw | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo36¢ → 100¢ | $2,657 | +$4,724 +178% | 12 |
| 318d | NadyaSuleman | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,670 | +$1,670 +100% | — |
| 319d | iamgone | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,862 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 319d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,341 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 319d | iamgone2 fills | Parham Maghsoodloo | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,590 | +$37 +0.3% | 4 |
| 319d | 0xb0e0…49235 fills | Parham Maghsoodloo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $45,329 | +$597 +1.3% | 4 |
| 320d | formernorrisfan | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,710 | −$1,710 −100% | 9 |
| 323d | iamgone | Hans Niemann | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$148 +10.0% | 5 |
The 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa is scheduled to take place December 8-11, 2025. This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa. If this event is cancelled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed first name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Freestyle Chess (https://www.freestyle-chess.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Levon Aronian means the market gives it about 100%.