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Polymarket wallet 0xfc3d90553247f9c3cda6a2d71f2080809c77a38b · on Polymarket since Dec 1, 2025 · also shown as Plump-Loop
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 316d | Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 316d | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 316d | Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 319d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 319d | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | BuyNo Change<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.