| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 28,581 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $22,150 | +$1,641 +8.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | No | 24,134 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $17,256 | +$922 +5.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 10,956 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $8,381 | −$868 −9.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 7,659 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $5,093 | +$274 +5.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,444 | 64¢ → 86¢ | $3,820 | +$965 +34% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | No | 3,873 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $3,248 | +$105 +3.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 4,939 | 77¢ → 60¢ | $2,963 | −$850 −22% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 3,032 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $2,835 | +$272 +11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,643 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $2,824 | +$359 +15% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3,205 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $2,356 | −$85 −3.5% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 5,818 | 27¢ → 35¢ | $2,007 | +$416 +26% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,544 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $1,949 | +$56 +2.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 5,151 | 48¢ → 35¢ | $1,777 | −$715 −29% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,305 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $1,694 | +$25 +1.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 1,630 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $1,601 | +$201 +14% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,660 | 68¢ → 44¢ | $1,592 | −$908 −36% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 1,951 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $1,570 | −$29 −1.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 8,628 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $1,337 | +$140 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,557 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $1,269 | −$88 −6.5% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 70d | Mbappé | 1,629 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $1,189 | +$45 +3.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,070 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $990 | +$90 +10.0% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,423 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $989 | −$3 −0.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 5,173 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $957 | −$52 −5.1% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 2,549 | 55¢ → 33¢ | $829 | −$565 −41% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,820 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $775 | −$184 −19% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1,477 | 53¢ → 48¢ | $709 | −$79 −10% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,742 | 23¢ → 41¢ | $706 | +$306 +76% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 4,982 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $673 | −$313 −32% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Ends in 70d | Rodri | 813 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $609 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 973 | 58¢ → 63¢ | $608 | +$41 +7.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 4,109 | 36¢ → 14¢ | $555 | −$915 −62% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,213 | 38¢ → 41¢ | $497 | +$40 +8.7% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,066 | 42¢ → 46¢ | $489 | +$37 +8.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 902 | 73¢ → 52¢ | $469 | −$188 −29% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 510 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $436 | +$96 +28% |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 473 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $409 | +$95 +30% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 500 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $368 | −$3 −0.7% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | No | 400 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $357 | +$60 +20% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 347 | 58¢ → 89¢ | $307 | +$104 +51% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 3,600 | 64¢ → 9¢ | $306 | −$1,995 −87% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 387 | 73¢ → 78¢ | $300 | +$17 +6.0% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,799 | 38¢ → 16¢ | $279 | −$409 −59% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 500 | 75¢ → 53¢ | $263 | −$113 −30% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 69d | No | 361 | 83¢ → 70¢ | $251 | −$49 −16% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 372 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $240 | +$9 +4.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,081 | 42¢ → 12¢ | $239 | −$640 −73% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,550 | 28¢ → 15¢ | $232 | −$208 −47% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 411 | 37¢ → 56¢ | $232 | +$82 +55% |
| California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?Ends in 12d | No | 263 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $223 | +$18 +8.8% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $216 | −$6 −2.8% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 275 | 48¢ → 78¢ | $213 | +$81 +62% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 5,989 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $207 | −$122 −37% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 2d | No | 294 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $206 | +$6 +2.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 358 | 51¢ → 57¢ | $204 | +$23 +13% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 290 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $203 | +$23 +13% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 8d | Yes | 310 | 17¢ → 64¢ | $198 | +$144 +267% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 39¢ → 20¢ | $195 | −$195 −50% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 70d | No | 200 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$13 +7.5% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 513 | 39¢ → 35¢ | $177 | −$23 −12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 500 | 40¢ → 34¢ | $168 | −$33 −16% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 400 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $164 | +$8 +5.1% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 162 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $159 | +$21 +15% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 62¢ → 51¢ | $154 | −$32 −17% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 2,273 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $148 | −$102 −41% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 801d | Yes | 389 | 50¢ → 36¢ | $140 | −$55 −28% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 208 | 72¢ → 67¢ | $140 | −$10 −6.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2,081 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $135 | −$145 −52% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 160d | Yes | 4,907 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $128 | −$2 −1.4% |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 69d | Yes | 219 | 42¢ → 55¢ | $121 | +$28 +31% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,011 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $116 | +$31 +37% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 134 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $115 | +$15 +15% |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 69d | No | 149 | 66¢ → 77¢ | $114 | +$16 +17% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 600 | 42¢ → 19¢ | $114 | −$138 −55% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 150 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $107 | +$19 +21% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $102 | −$12 −11% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 1,741 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $96 | −$130 −58% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $78 | −$23 −23% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 250 | 43¢ → 30¢ | $75 | −$33 −30% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $71 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | Yes | 300 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $61 | +$10 +20% |
| Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 70 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $61 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 185 | 54¢ → 32¢ | $59 | −$41 −41% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 266 | 37¢ → 22¢ | $58 | −$40 −41% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 58 | 71¢ → >99¢ | $58 | +$17 +40% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 69d | Yes | 92 | 45¢ → 59¢ | $54 | +$12 +30% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 129d | Yes | 143 | 35¢ → 37¢ | $53 | +$3 +5.7% |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $50 | +$5 +11% |
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 250d | Yes | 150 | 23¢ → 31¢ | $46 | +$11 +33% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 12d | No | 400 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $44 | −$14 −24% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 150 | 46¢ → 29¢ | $44 | −$26 −37% |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 200 | 36¢ → 21¢ | $42 | −$30 −42% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 283 | 49¢ → 14¢ | $41 | −$97 −70% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $41 | −$35 −46% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 23¢ → 38¢ | $38 | +$15 +65% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 473 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $37 | −$12 −25% |
| Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?Ends in 70d | No | 36 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.2% |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$4 −10% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 90¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$868 −96% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | Yes | 300 | 35¢ → 11¢ | $32 | −$74 −69% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 521 | 38¢ → 6¢ | $29 | −$171 −86% |
