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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31, 2026 | 100% | +39 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | zxc368 | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,991 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 275d | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,808 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 275d | hgoni2 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,444 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 275d | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,697 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 275d | abusivienejskx2 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,937 | +$315 +6.4% | 4 |
| 276d | nolbu | January 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,410 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 276d | abusivienejskx | January 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,795 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 276d | cnfiguridofjnfke2 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,948 | +$96 +0.3% | 4 |
| 276d | JoseB144 | January 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 276d | Erutan2 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,295 | +$662 +29% | 4 |
| 276d | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$173 +15% | 4 | |
| 276d | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,251 | −$1,251 −100% | 4 | |
| 276d | hollyber8 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $32,010 | +$12,062 +38% | 4 |
| 277d | SavvyStrawberry5 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $8,973 | −$8,973 −100% | 8 |
| 277d | LazyWanker | January 31, 2026 | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,285 | +$1,285 +100% | — |
| 281d | RedChk5 fills | January 31, 2026 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $7,320 | −$2,518 −34% | — |
| 284d | January 31, 2026 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$388 −38% | — | |
| 285d | RedChk | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$875 +35% | 4 |
| 331d | hsy5652 | January 31, 2026 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$206 +15% | 4 |
| 332d | cnfiguridofjnfke | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,217 | +$83 +3.7% | 4 |
| 343d | nakshi | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | −$107 −4.9% | — |
| 401d | September 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,370 | +$40 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 401d | lowrisk24 | September 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$20 −1.5% | — |
| 403d | September 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,797 | −$43 −1.5% | — | |
| 403d | Kjjj77882 fills | September 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,140 | +$39 +1.2% | 4 |
| 414d | September 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,833 | −$167 −2.9% | — | |
| 415d | seyo | September 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$22 +2.1% | 4 |
| 418d | cnfiguridofjnfke2 fills | September 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,327 | +$85 +3.7% | 4 |
| 419d | Dbrain | September 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$52 −5.1% | — |
| 421d | whynot20256 fills | September 30 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $12,047 | −$2,496 −21% | — |
| 421d | Vlad1989 | September 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,460 | −$129 −5.3% | — |
| 421d | abusivienejskx | September 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,288 | −$120 −5.3% | — |
| 421d | September 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$65 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 421d | whynot20252 fills | September 30 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $21,887 | +$3,082 +14% | 4 |
| 421d | DoreDore | September 30 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | −$357 −31% | — |
| 422d | September 30 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $11,454 | +$2,828 +25% | 4 | |
| 422d | torrest2 fills | September 30 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $3,321 | −$3,321 −100% | 5 |
| 423d | September 30 | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $3,136 | −$3,136 −100% | 5 | |
| 423d | Goetze | September 30 | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,334 | −$1,334 −100% | 4 |
| 428d | whynot2025 | September 30 | SellYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,276 | +$1,276 +100% | — |
| 429d | seyo2 fills | September 30 | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $3,883 | −$3,883 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Han Duck-soo spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between August 19 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Han Duck-soo spends time in custody in a jail or prison. Temporary holding at a facility such as the Seoul Detention Center while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.