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Polymarket wallet 0x3b4a4348eb19c3c4fff014fe938c1316118c07fb · on Polymarket since Aug 27, 2025 · also shown as Timely-Papa
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,670 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $4,561 | +$57 +1.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,800 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $3,173 | +$117 +3.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 53¢ → 86¢ | $342 | +$132 +63% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.