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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 (100 bps) | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1 (25 bps) | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2 (50 bps) | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 (75 bps) | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5 (125 bps) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6 or more (150+ bps) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674d | TheBoyBilly... | 3 (75 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | 0x4e25…d7a72 fills | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $17,090 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  turtle9112 fills | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,129 | −$69 −2.2% | — |
| 674d | affs20791 | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,636 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  Dropper2 fills | 3 (75 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | Kaysan | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,828 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  LlamaEnjoyer | 3 (75 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | hippoka | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $6,547 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | tf2 | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,755 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  lranon2 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,979 | +$21 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | tf2 | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $114,593 | +$230 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  Apsalar2 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $89,820 | +$180 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  DuduAI | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,800 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  tsybka | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,483 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | VvVv3 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,934 | +$66 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  MMousse4 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $25,943 | +$3,305 +13% | 10 |
| 674d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente3 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,968 | +$32 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  AgricultureSecretary | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,667 | +$29 +0.3% | 10 |
| 674d | TheBoyBilly...2 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,896 | +$104 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  BustedCungly | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,184 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 674d | Dropper | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,940 | +$60 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | MMousse4 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $131,957 | +$408 +0.3% | 10 |
| 674d | 0xB16B00B52 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,978 | +$21 +0.4% | 10 |
| 674d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $171,656 | +$344 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | cigarettes8 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,877 | +$473 +1.4% | 10 |
| 674d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,456 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | AgricultureSecretary | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | LlamaEnjoyer | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,612 | +$43 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | Dropper2 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,794 | +$73 +0.4% | 10 |
| 674d | Siziriv | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 674d |  Kickstand7 | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $51,521 | +$632 +1.2% | 10 |
| 674d | Tehgameguy5 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $13,049 | +$5,406 +41% | 10 |
| 674d | pulan2 fills | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,653 | −$215 −4.6% | — |
| 674d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | 3 (75 bps) | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | −$39 −2.2% | — |
| 674d | cigarettes9 fills | 5 (125 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,706 | +$72 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | BustedCungly | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$24 +2.0% | 10 |
| 674d | pako4 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $27,424 | +$1,135 +4.1% | 10 |
| 674d | 456ythgbvcadscvb14 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $35,086 | +$1,042 +3.0% | 10 |
| 674d | sakkakajdas | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$40 −3.5% | — |
| 674d | sakkakajdas | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$28 +2.4% | 10 |
| 674d |  KatieSprygada1 | 5 (125 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,710 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 674d |  trumpetplayer10 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $165,136 | +$69,300 +42% | 10 |
| 674d |  sorcerer.02 | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,403 | −$98 −4.1% | — |
| 674d | 456ythgbvcadscvb6 fills | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $20,191 | −$659 −3.3% | — |
| 674d |  funnyday2 fills | 3 (75 bps) | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,895 | −$105 −3.6% | — |
| 674d | wokerjoesleeper | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,483 | −$181 −4.0% | — |
| 674d |  d1k215 fills | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $10,030 | −$1,798 −18% | — |
| 674d | MMousse4 fills | 5 (125 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,040 | +$23 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | brokencoins | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$38 −3.7% | — |
| 674d | livo-653 | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,738 | −$54 −3.1% | — |
| 674d | novon06305 fills | 5 (125 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $9,596 | −$19 −0.2% | — |
| 674d | novon06305 fills | 5 (125 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,606 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  rektoberr | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 10 |
| 674d | Yumboters | 5 (125 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,779 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 674d | Yumboters | 5 (125 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,785 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 675d | scanner | 3 (75 bps) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,739 | +$301 +3.1% | 10 |
| 675d | drop.database | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $20,739 | −$646 −3.1% | — |
| 675d | scanner3 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $44,995 | +$1,823 +4.1% | 10 |
| 675d | Shindo | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | −$56 −3.5% | — |
| 675d |  Kettle | 4 (100 bps) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,825 | −$175 −3.6% | — |
This is a market on the expected number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts occurring within the current calendar year.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4 (100 bps) means the market gives it about 100%.