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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100-150k | 100% | +69 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| <100k | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-200k | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-250k | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-300k | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >300k | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777d | 200-250k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,155 | −$5 −0.4% | — | |
| 778d | coinfucius2 fills | 100-150k | SellYes>99¢ | $4,205 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 778d | <100k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,230 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 778d | <100k | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,498 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 778d | <100k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$30 +1.9% | 10 | |
| 778d | 0xfe91…70ff | 100-150k | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,123 | −$1,123 −100% | 20 |
| 778d | ZXCVBNM-256 | 150-200k | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,009 | −$2,009 −100% | 20 |
| 778d | >300k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,079 | +$43 +2.1% | 11 | |
| 778d | >300k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$32 +2.1% | 11 | |
| 780d | Grotesque-Carotene2 fills | <100k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,247 | +$677 +9.3% | 13 |
| 781d | FlowMo | >300k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$101 +5.6% | 10 |
| 782d | <100k | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | −$199 −13% | — | |
| 782d | BobbyB2 fills | <100k | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,138 | +$262 +12% | 11 |
| 798d | <100k | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$243 +17% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the number of jobs added in August.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 100-150k means the market gives it about 100%.