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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50k | 100% | +76 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50k–100k | 0% | −56 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100k–150k | 0% | −14 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150k–200k | 0% | −4 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >200k | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413d |  noreasapa | 100k–150k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,411 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 413d | noreasapa | 50k–100k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,049 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 413d | noreasapa | <50k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,642 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 413d | noreasapa | >200k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,993 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 413d |  Slowroasted | 150k–200k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,528 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 413d |  .jeet | <50k | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,296 | +$47 +2.0% | 10 |
| 413d | tinman2 | <50k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,907 | +$93 +3.2% | 10 |
| 413d |  AgricultureSecretary | <50k | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,496 | +$104 +2.3% | 10 |
| 414d | phantazm13373 fills | <50k | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $7,022 | −$7,022 −100% | 17 |
| 431d |  VinnyViral | <50k | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,061 | −$1,061 −100% | 10 |
| 448d |  Patroclus | 50k–100k | SellYes45¢ → 0¢ | $2,983 | +$2,983 +100% | — |
| 448d | Patroclus | 50k–100k | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $4,862 | −$4,862 −100% | 10 |
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2025, scheduled to be released on September 5, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <50k means the market gives it about 100%.