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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <4 | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7-9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-12 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 13-15 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 16-18 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 19-21 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 22-24 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  XAE12Archangel | 10-12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,255 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 339d | wks168 | 10-12 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,058 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 341d | wks168 | 10-12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 345d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 4-6 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$17 −1.4% | — |
| 350d | Orion962 fills | 4-6 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | +$130 +4.7% | 20 |
| 398d |  ImJustKen | 4-6 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,005 | +$179 +8.9% | 20 |
| 423d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | <4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,698 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  abraham20511 | <4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$16 +1.2% | 20 |
| 433d | Orion96 | 10-12 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | −$34 −1.7% | — |
| 442d |  doubleone | 7-9 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$255 +20% | 20 |
| 477d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 13-15 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | −$22 −1.9% | — |
| 486d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 16-18 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 492d | Orion96 | 10-12 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$181 +15% | 20 |
| 513d | Travori | 7-9 | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $16,270 | +$16,270 +100% | — |
| 513d | Aetheran | 7-9 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $18,367 | +$16,287 +89% | 20 |
| 536d | Thervox | 7-9 | SellYes42¢ → 0¢ | $11,325 | +$11,325 +100% | — |
| 536d | Thervox | 7-9 | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $11,343 | −$11,343 −100% | 24 |
rivermarkets1,395 shares
Cookedtan562 shares
Mikiya250 sharesThis is a market on the number of SpaceX Starship launches that successfully reach space in the year 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4-6 means the market gives it about 100%.