Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | alliswell | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,171 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  GollumGekko | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d |  DonationsReceiver3 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,477 | +$45 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d |  dooby | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,495 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d |  MEPP3 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,972 | −$159 −1.8% | — |
| 302d | hduas | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 304d |  GobiDesertCanoePro | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | SellNo100¢ | $4,975 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 304d |  VegemiteLover | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,893 | +$92 +0.4% | 4 |
| 304d |  0xnoobo | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 304d |  AGPamBondi2 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | +$21 +0.6% | 4 |
| 305d |  kekkone | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$428 +30% | 4 |
| 309d | cashy2 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,813 | +$267 +1.8% | 4 |
| 309d | denizz | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,046 | −$26 −1.3% | — |
| 309d |  twe2nty | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,158 | +$130 +0.8% | 4 |
| 309d |  lostmansoul | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$16 +0.8% | 4 |
| 313d |  spectral-mango-protocol3 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,534 | +$98 +0.9% | 4 |
| 316d | veinteuno | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 318d | rdba | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 323d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,398 | +$97 +1.8% | 4 |
| 324d |  ineedmassage | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$44 +3.6% | 4 |
| 325d |  GroyperFinancialServices | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,627 | −$114 −2.0% | — |
| 325d |  zthunderfury | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,140 | +$40 +1.9% | 4 |
| 328d | GobiDesertCanoePro | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,890 | +$110 +2.3% | 4 |
| 333d |  scottilicious3 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $31,138 | −$832 −2.7% | — |
| 351d | r4fdhvj4nv | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,931 | +$69 +2.4% | 4 |
| 362d | inrock30 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$70 +4.2% | 4 |
| 379d | i5mogger | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$108 +5.4% | 4 |
| 379d | scottilicious3 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $99,636 | +$8,858 +8.9% | 4 |
| 379d | FDTpuissance | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$609 +8.7% | 4 |
| 379d | MEPP3 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $21,568 | +$2,432 +11% | 4 |
| 379d |  satoshiAncap | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $2,049 | −$2,049 −100% | 9 |
| 380d |  SwampRat2 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $27,130 | +$2,456 +9.1% | 4 |
| 380d |  Jellow2 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,585 | +$415 +9.1% | 4 |
| 380d |  Yirmeyahu | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,585 | +$415 +9.1% | 4 |
| 380d |  betwick | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,297 | +$703 +7.6% | 4 |
| 380d |  WordleAddict | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $18,600 | +$1,400 +7.5% | 4 |
| 380d | denizz | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $37,796 | +$2,845 +7.5% | 4 |
| 432d | zeus76 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$153 −15% | — |
| 472d |  Pulser | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | +$317 +23% | 4 |
| 474d | hduas2 fills | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,313 +38% | 4 |
| 482d | wzf | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$334 +22% | 4 |
satoshiAncap273,438 shares
00000000AAAAAAAA2,938 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.