| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 234,555 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $38,702 | +$973 +2.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 207,373 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $17,627 | +$3,695 +27% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 16,000 | 35¢ → 56¢ | $9,040 | +$3,435 +61% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 14,950 | 33¢ → 48¢ | $7,176 | +$2,262 +46% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 25,677 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $5,777 | −$57 −1.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 8,143 | 56¢ → 63¢ | $5,130 | +$605 +13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 24d | No | 7,638 | 41¢ → 51¢ | $3,857 | +$691 +22% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 25,555 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $2,939 | +$145 +5.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 18,704 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $2,712 | −$404 −13% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 3,990 | 34¢ → 64¢ | $2,534 | +$1,160 +84% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 2d | No | 29,345 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $2,201 | −$1,236 −36% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Ends in 9d | Yes | 21,500 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $1,655 | +$195 +13% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 9d | Yes | 6,303 | 11¢ → 25¢ | $1,544 | +$862 +126% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 12d | No | 5,500 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $1,430 | +$109 +8.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 6d | No | 8,145 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $1,425 | +$11 +0.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 24d | No | 2,995 | 28¢ → 42¢ | $1,243 | +$402 +48% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 98,372 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1,082 | +$260 +32% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 29¢ → 41¢ | $810 | +$223 +38% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 43,665 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $742 | −$2,518 −77% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 690 | 54¢ → 89¢ | $614 | +$242 +65% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | Yes | 2,000 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $570 | −$66 −10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Ends in 9d | Yes | 15,000 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $547 | −$132 −19% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 8,653 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $389 | −$318 −45% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 4,159 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $353 | −$189 −35% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 7,000 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $350 | −$280 −44% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 682 | 57¢ → 48¢ | $327 | −$65 −16% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 700 | 53¢ → 43¢ | $297 | −$72 −20% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,989 | 0¢ → 15¢ | $290 | +$290 +0.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,855 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $288 | −$33 −10% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 31d | No | 500 | 47¢ → 57¢ | $285 | +$50 +21% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 12,080 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $272 | −$1,312 −83% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 6,000 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $243 | −$115 −32% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3,434 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $223 | −$159 −42% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 4,000 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $200 | −$163 −45% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 4,260 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $183 | −$73 −29% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 2d | No | 3,000 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $165 | −$45 −21% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 700 | 0¢ → 24¢ | $164 | +$164 +0.0% |
| Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,140 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $149 | −$85 −36% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,927 | 23¢ → 8¢ | $144 | −$289 −67% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 879 | 44¢ → 16¢ | $136 | −$254 −65% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 690 | 20¢ → 19¢ | $128 | −$10 −7.5% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,000 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $126 | +$81 +180% |
| Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 335 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $116 | −$6 −5.0% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 457 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $107 | +$7 +7.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,879 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $105 | −$63 −37% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2,256 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $103 | +$15 +17% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 269 | 12¢ → 38¢ | $101 | +$68 +206% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,937 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $87 | −$67 −43% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 300 | 38¢ → 29¢ | $87 | −$27 −23% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 200 | 28¢ → 40¢ | $80 | +$24 +43% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $80 | −$30 −27% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 8¢ | $79 | +$46 +139% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,626 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $72 | −$94 −57% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2,616 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $58 | −$198 −77% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,900 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $56 | −$48 −46% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,520 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $50 | −$155 −76% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 69 | 26¢ → 68¢ | $47 | +$29 +160% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 122 | 60¢ → 31¢ | $37 | −$36 −49% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 667 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $33 | −$67 −67% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,511 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $30 | −$116 −79% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 301 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $29 | −$16 −36% |
| Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 131 | 13¢ → 22¢ | $29 | +$12 +69% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20?Ends ended | Yes | 163 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $27 | −$17 −39% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 18?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 41¢ | $24 | +$8 +50% |
| Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Ends in 9d | Yes | 24 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $24 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,440 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $21 | +$21 +0.0% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,328 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $20 | −$4 −17% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2,578 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $19 | −$26 −57% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 206 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $19 | −$14 −44% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 57 | 87¢ → 26¢ | $15 | −$35 −70% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 187 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$4 −33% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 22 | 23¢ → 32¢ | $7 | +$2 +38% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,931 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $6 | +$6 +0.0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 268 | 0¢ → 2¢ | $5 | +$5 +0.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Ends in 9d | Yes | 231 | 25¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$53 −91% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 33 | 8¢ → 16¢ | $5 | +$2 +94% |
| Another Elon baby by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 45 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$1 +41% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 69 | 34¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$19 −81% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 17 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $3 | −$1 −15% |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 35 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$4 −55% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?Ends in 9d | Yes | 387 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$1 −16% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$1 −34% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$3 −61% |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 5 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +600% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,597 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$157 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 246 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 477 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 269 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 64,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,791 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,104 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$987 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$546 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 327 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
