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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 541d |  Gemini456 | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,568 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 541d |  MisTKy36 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $28,239 | +$1,865 +6.6% | 20 |
| 541d |  LastChanceSaloon | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,989 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 542d | YasH2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,872 | +$34 +0.6% | 20 |
| 543d | Rtm234 | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | −$34 −3.2% | — |
| 544d |  xyz11235 | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$56 +5.6% | 21 |
| 544d |  elreptil3 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,633 | −$732 −5.0% | — |
| 545d |  HoshinoAI2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,617 | +$290 +2.7% | 20 |
| 545d | denizz10 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $53,068 | +$7,283 +14% | 20 |
| 548d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,814 | −$186 −3.9% | — |
| 551d | keribit | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | −$44 −3.8% | — |
| 553d |  ScarletRot | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,880 | +$187 +3.8% | 20 |
| 553d |  Donkov | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$52 +4.7% | 20 |
| 553d |  ScamWick3 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $13,521 | +$987 +7.3% | 20 |
| 555d |  Car | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | +$86 +4.2% | 20 |
| 555d |  BigBlackGorilla | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$67 −6.4% | — |
| 556d | mooseytunes0 | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,161 | +$166 +5.3% | 20 |
| 557d |  carney-pls-win2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,729 | +$387 +8.2% | 20 |
| 558d | BigBlackGorilla | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$83 +6.4% | 20 |
| 558d |  png1024 | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,047 | +$305 +7.5% | 20 |
| 563d | ScamWick | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,625 | −$1,625 −100% | 24 |
| 564d | keribit2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | +$320 +8.7% | 20 |
| 564d | denizz3 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,688 | −$901 −10% | — |
| 565d | MisTKy33 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $11,037 | −$955 −8.7% | — |
| 566d | elreptil2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $31,000 | +$2,460 +7.9% | 20 |
| 566d | FlaSh | Israel military action against Iran in April? | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,296 | +$1,296 +100% | — |
| 568d | zizar32 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $2,896 | −$2,896 −100% | 28 |
| 569d |  sigh2 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $10,673 | +$2,033 +19% | 20 |
| 569d | mr.ozi | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | +$217 +12% | 20 |
| 569d | Tominouch3 fills | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $3,763 | −$3,763 −100% | 28 |
| 570d | nonkenny90 | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$212 +13% | 20 |
A1B2C3D41,265 shares
EyesWideOpen9111,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between April 1, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
