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Polymarket wallet 0xe778736863ebed6573211631f73b5b4812f0d11d · on Polymarket since Jan 17, 2025 · also shown as Fearless-Recipient
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US military action against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 672 | 26¢ → 100¢ | $672 | +$498 +285% |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 832 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 541d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | SellYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 541d | Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? | SellYes95¢ | $1,649 |
| 553d | Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? | BuyYes15¢ | $60 |
| 553d | Will TikTok be banned again before May? | SellNo97¢ | $203 |
| 564d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes26¢ | $55 |
| 564d | Will TikTok be banned again before May? | BuyNo48¢ | $100 |
| 564d | Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? | BuyYes15¢ | $200 |
| 564d | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 564d | Israel military action against Iran in April? | BuyYes9¢ | $20 |
| 564d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes29¢ | $100 |
| 564d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes26¢ | $120 |
| 640d | Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | BuyYes24¢ | $100 |
| 644d | Israel announces ceasefire by January 16? | BuyNo31¢ | $200 |
| 644d | Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party? | BuyYes72¢ | $499 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.