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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +91 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409d |  Oompa-Loompa | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,293 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d |  roadmapper | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,963 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 409d |  Ahpo | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | +$45 +2.0% | 20 |
| 409d | Paner | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,707 | −$187 −4.0% | — |
| 409d |  duderr2 fills | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,140 | +$167 +5.3% | 20 |
| 409d | 0x97cc…bbbf | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$189 +11% | 20 |
| 409d | cashy3 fills | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $9,592 | +$1,186 +12% | 20 |
| 410d | BAZIMAN | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $5,033 | +$1,868 +37% | 20 |
| 410d |  1banana | Israel military action against Qatar in 2025? | BuyYes22¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$3,901 +355% | 21 |
randomWalkingShrimp85 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Qatari soil between September 3, 11:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "military action" includes any use of kinetic force, or intelligence/special operation executed by the Israeli military on Qatari soil (e.g. if a weapons depot on Qatari soil is hit by a Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. If a qualifying military action is widely attributed to Israel, this market may resolve to "Yes" even if the action is not officially confirmed/acknowledged by the Israeli government. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.