| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 4,553 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $4,494 | +$391 +9.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2,308 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $2,288 | +$161 +7.6% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,322 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $2,251 | +$147 +7.0% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,824 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $1,733 | +$67 +4.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,582 | 65¢ → 90¢ | $1,424 | +$394 +38% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,929 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $1,264 | −$62 −4.7% |
| Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,276 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $1,213 | +$48 +4.1% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,142 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $1,084 | +$248 +30% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,310 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $1,081 | +$105 +11% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,137 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,074 | +$110 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,542 | 55¢ → 70¢ | $1,072 | +$229 +27% |
| Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 951 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $880 | +$95 +12% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 939 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $864 | +$89 +11% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 964 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $839 | +$52 +6.7% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 849 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $781 | +$230 +42% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 817 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $738 | +$54 +7.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 785 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $708 | +$145 +26% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 735 | 44¢ → 86¢ | $632 | +$309 +96% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 960 | 40¢ → 66¢ | $629 | +$244 +64% |
| Will Sudan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 632 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $628 | +$60 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 3,100 | 12¢ → 20¢ | $620 | +$238 +62% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 831 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $578 | +$104 +22% |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 536 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $525 | +$43 +9.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 568 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $515 | +$78 +18% |
| Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 636 | 91¢ → 81¢ | $512 | −$66 −11% |
| Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 499 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $490 | +$22 +4.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 536 | 64¢ → 91¢ | $488 | +$147 +43% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 649 | 60¢ → 75¢ | $484 | +$94 +24% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 700 | 40¢ → 66¢ | $458 | +$181 +66% |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 455 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $447 | +$29 +7.0% |
| Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 440 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $416 | +$18 +4.6% |
| Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 465 | 71¢ → 83¢ | $386 | +$56 +17% |
| Will the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 363 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $357 | +$33 +10% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 450 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $349 | +$28 +8.8% |
| Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 354 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $333 | +$37 +13% |
| Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 362 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $324 | +$38 +13% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $289 | +$7 +2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 650 | 41¢ → 43¢ | $276 | +$12 +4.4% |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 295 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $276 | +$9 +3.5% |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 297 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $259 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Ends in 11d | Yes | 260 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $254 | +$33 +15% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 264 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $252 | +$37 +17% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,824 | 52¢ → 7¢ | $249 | −$1,738 −87% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 278 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $245 | +$21 +9.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 227 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $220 | +$34 +18% |
| Will Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 214 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $192 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,229 | 45¢ → 9¢ | $189 | −$825 −81% |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 201 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $187 | +$3 +1.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 240 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $182 | −$12 −6.3% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 530 | 46¢ → 32¢ | $167 | −$76 −31% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 210 | 62¢ → 75¢ | $156 | +$27 +21% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 172 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $150 | +$7 +5.1% |
| Will Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 151 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$24 +19% |
| Will Jordan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $141 | +$11 +8.1% |
| Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 143 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $139 | +$15 +12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 482 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $137 | −$37 −21% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 601 | 15¢ → 22¢ | $132 | +$42 +47% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 138 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $129 | +$14 +12% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 214 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $129 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 126 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $123 | +$12 +10% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 245 | 42¢ → 47¢ | $115 | +$12 +12% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 120 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $114 | +$29 +34% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$3 +2.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 106 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $96 | +$16 +21% |
| Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 95 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $85 | +$9 +12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 39¢ → 43¢ | $85 | +$7 +9.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 90 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $85 | +$14 +19% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 120 | 35¢ → 68¢ | $81 | +$39 +93% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $77 | −$4 −4.9% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 90 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $68 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 30¢ → 62¢ | $62 | +$32 +108% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 64 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $61 | +$14 +29% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 13¢ → 20¢ | $60 | +$21 +54% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 120 | 65¢ → 45¢ | $53 | −$25 −32% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 55 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $53 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$6 +13% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 51 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $46 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 130 | 37¢ → 32¢ | $42 | −$6 −12% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 74¢ → 99¢ | $39 | +$10 +33% |
| Will Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $37 | +$8 +27% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $34 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$4 +16% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 250 | 41¢ → 10¢ | $25 | −$77 −75% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 37¢ → 39¢ | $23 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 60 | 37¢ → 39¢ | $23 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 284 | 28¢ → 8¢ | $23 | −$57 −71% |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | No | 20 | 78¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$4 +28% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +8.0% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 193 | 35¢ → 10¢ | $18 | −$50 −73% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$6 +50% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?Ends in 128d | Yes | 120 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $10 | −$1 −6.1% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$2 −25% |
| Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 64¢ → 89¢ | $5 | +$1 +38% |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 82 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$7 −65% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$4 −61% |