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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485d | Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July? | SellNo100¢ | $3,963 | −$20 −0.5% | — | |
| 486d | Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | +$14 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 509d | YasH2 fills | Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,483 | +$41 +1.7% | 4 |
| 529d | Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,438 | +$173 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 541d | denizz | Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,114 | +$269 +5.3% | 4 |
| 548d | Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,997 | −$294 −7.4% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel or Egypt formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with with the other by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Israeli or Egyptian government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.