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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615d | jam516 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,255 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 615d |  MotherTheresa | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,114 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 615d | highest2 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,073 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 615d | Monster24 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 615d |  KimJonEn2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,125 | +$31 +0.7% | 20 |
| 616d | Jmoud2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,112 | +$55 +1.8% | 20 |
| 616d | PolyPocket | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$31 −3.1% | — |
| 616d |  mr.ozi | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$87 +6.6% | 22 |
| 616d | Lakshmi | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,275 | +$147 +4.5% | 21 |
| 617d | Saltyballs4 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,863 | +$976 +14% | 22 |
| 617d |  WashTrade2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,965 | +$535 +13% | 22 |
| 617d | 88381237 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | −$303 −8.9% | — |
| 618d |  png1024 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,989 | −$719 −6.0% | — |
| 618d | Meaty-Vacation | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$83 +4.2% | 21 |
| 618d | jam516 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$75 +6.4% | 21 |
| 618d | 88381237 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$232 +14% | 22 |
| 618d |  MEPP2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,201 | +$348 +16% | 22 |
| 618d |  Erasmus. | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$205 +16% | 22 |
| 619d | DeezzNutzz2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,355 | +$810 +34% | 24 |
| 619d | png10242 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,628 | +$1,313 +50% | 22 |
| 619d | Wackyjacky | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | +$1,227 +100% | — |
| 619d | denizz | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,298 | +$1,293 +56% | 22 |
| 619d | Wackyjacky | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 23 |
| 619d | rfnoone | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | −$517 −40% | — |
| 620d |  Parz1vaI | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$888 +75% | 22 |
Xfactor-256306 sharesPresident Donald Trump said on Monday that if all the hostages held in Gaza are not returned by Saturday at noon he would propose canceling the Israel-Hamas ceasefire and letting "all hell break loose." (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-gaza-ceasefire-should-end-saturday-if-hostages-not-released-2025-02-10/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancelation of the ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by February 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.