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Polymarket wallet 0x3f3c52fb6a65bfe6ea146d50e1bc56d432dd4e8b · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2025 · also shown as Ornate-Badger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 84 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 216 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 616d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 616d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March? | BuyYes26¢ | $27 |
| 628d | Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA" first? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 628d | Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Money Trees" first? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 628d | Will Kendrick Lamar perform "m.A.A.d. City" first? | BuyYes2¢ | $4 |
| 628d | Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Swimming Pools" first? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 628d | Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright" first? | BuyYes4¢ | $3 |
| 628d | Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year? | BuyYes22¢ | $16 |
| 628d | Will 'Short n' Sweet' win Album of the Year? | BuyYes5¢ | $4 |
| 628d | Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year? | BuyYes9¢ | $9 |
| 632d | Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI? | BuyNo9¢ | $8 |
| 632d | RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary? | BuyNo24¢ | $17 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.