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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d | Elephantnose | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,168 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 589d | denizz | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,748 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 590d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 595d |  mr.ozi | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$56 +4.0% | 20 |
| 597d |  MotherTheresa3 fills | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,153 | +$779 +7.7% | 20 |
| 602d | denizz5 fills | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $9,101 | +$1,418 +16% | 20 |
| 603d |  png1024 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,075 | −$222 −11% | — |
| 605d |  MEPP2 fills | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | −$217 −9.3% | — |
| 606d |  scottilicious | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,562 | −$268 −7.5% | — |
| 607d | DeezzNutzz | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | −$221 −16% | — |
| 608d | png10242 fills | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$916 +19% | 20 |
| 608d | Yoss19892 fills | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | −$413 −16% | — |
| 611d | Saltyballs2 fills | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$450 +18% | 20 |
| 612d | MEPP | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | +$383 +18% | 20 |
| 614d | dovissmart | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,658 | +$1,658 +100% | — |
| 619d |  WashTrade | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$304 +23% | 20 |
| 620d | scottilicious | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$130 +8.7% | 20 |
| 620d | cashy2 fills | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,116 | +$603 +15% | 20 |
BabyYoda12400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas between February 4, and March 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Israel and/or Hamas, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.