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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 0% | — | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 31 | 100% | +1 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 16 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 15 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 17 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 15 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99d | Trustinghorse | July 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,881 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 99d | July 16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,877 | +$51 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 99d | 0x4452…7ae72 fills | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,378 | +$105 +1.1% | 4 |
| 99d | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,253 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 99d | July 16 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 99d | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,980 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 99d | July 16 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,660 | +$153 +1.4% | 4 | |
| 99d | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | +$21 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 99d | junkbonds | July 16 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,830 | +$180 +2.0% | 4 |
| 99d | July 16 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | −$62 −4.6% | — | |
| 99d | July 16 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | +$139 +4.7% | 4 | |
| 99d | July 16 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,539 | −$461 −18% | — | |
| 99d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | July 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,631 | +$70 +0.8% | 4 |
| 99d | Sarcastic-Minimalism3 fills | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,618 | +$112 +0.8% | 4 |
| 99d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | July 16 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,363 | +$54 +1.0% | 4 |
| 99d | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$32 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 99d | wigglew4 fills | July 16 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$1,950 +26% | 4 |
| 99d | 0x8931…a90c | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,312 | +$84 +1.0% | 4 |
| 99d | July 16 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,412 | +$185 +3.4% | 4 | |
| 99d | July 16 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$33 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 99d | wigglew2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,859 | +$228 +2.3% | 4 |
| 99d | wigglew2 fills | July 17 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,141 | +$182 +4.4% | 4 |
| 99d | Skinny-Diving2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,178 | +$108 +3.4% | 4 |
| 99d | Skinny-Diving2 fills | July 17 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,744 | +$829 +22% | 4 |
| 99d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | July 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$53 +4.0% | 4 |
| 99d | Skinny-Diving2 fills | July 16 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $2,958 | +$2,042 +69% | 4 |
| 99d | Virtuous-Will | July 31 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$73 +6.6% | 4 |
| 99d | July 31 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$74 −6.3% | — | |
| 101d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | July 15 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,408 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 101d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389352 fills | July 16 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $6,806 | +$2,492 +37% | 8 |
| 101d | pakukudolphi | July 16 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$480 +36% | 8 |
| 101d | Grindking | July 16 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,134 | −$1,134 −100% | 9 |
| 102d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | July 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$17 −1.4% | — |
| 102d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389352 fills | July 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,386 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
| 102d | 0xbF4d202382 | July 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | −$17 −1.4% | — |
| 102d | Sarumantheyellow | July 31 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,921 | −$228 −7.8% | — |
| 103d | Dafu0715 | July 15 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,253 | +$132 +3.1% | 5 |
| 103d | Sarumantheyellow | July 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,998 | +$102 +2.0% | 4 |
| 103d | pakukudolphi | July 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$128 +11% | 4 |
| 107d | July 31 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$322 +29% | 4 | |
| 112d | narua | July 15 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$153 −13% | — |
| 115d | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 115d | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,537 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 116d | Sdfghji | June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,943 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 116d | Tidy-Grammar | July 31 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$550 +53% | 4 |
| 120d | narua | July 15 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$246 +23% | 4 |
| 120d | Arif668 | June 30 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$84 −8.3% | — |
| 120d | 0xe72b…3c9c2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,975 | +$928 +19% | 4 |
| 121d | June 30 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$111 +7.4% | 4 | |
| 123d | June 30 | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $8,548 | −$2,966 −35% | — | |
| 124d | M2sx92kljs42 | June 30 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$325 +27% | 4 |
| 124d | June 30 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$541 +35% | 4 | |
| 131d | Boefje | June 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,240 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 131d | June 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,229 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 131d | stpnswss | June 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 131d | June 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,490 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 131d | Myway | June 30 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$92 −8.9% | — |
| 132d | Inchoroi | July 31 | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$859 −63% | — |
| 142d | June 30 | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,740 | −$1,740 −100% | 4 | |
| 144d | June 30 | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $2,624 | +$2,871 +109% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 0%.