| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 14d | No | 30,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $27,450 | −$50 −0.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 40,021 | 56¢ → 65¢ | $25,813 | +$3,503 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 14d | Yes | 34,812 | 57¢ → 64¢ | $22,106 | +$2,323 +12% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 50,150 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $9,779 | −$675 −6.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10,485 | 67¢ → 79¢ | $8,309 | +$1,326 +19% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 32,298 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $6,443 | +$214 +3.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 14d | Yes | 10,000 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $6,350 | −$250 −3.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 28,977 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $5,361 | −$1,027 −16% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 10,000 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $4,945 | +$129 +2.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40,000 | 5¢ → 10¢ | $3,800 | +$1,770 +87% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 7,659 | 47¢ → 42¢ | $3,217 | −$400 −11% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 20,643 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $3,200 | −$22 −0.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 34,585 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $2,940 | −$537 −15% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 20,000 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $2,900 | +$494 +21% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 6,000 | 47¢ → 42¢ | $2,520 | −$300 −11% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 50,847 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $2,491 | −$3,191 −56% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 20,000 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $2,300 | −$300 −12% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 5,350 | 32¢ → 40¢ | $2,113 | +$417 +25% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 5d | Yes | 12,000 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $2,100 | −$240 −10% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 8,000 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $2,040 | −$200 −8.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,982 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,951 | +$22 +1.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 8,283 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $1,864 | −$538 −22% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 2,000 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $1,803 | +$163 +9.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 6,439 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $1,771 | −$166 −8.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,008 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $1,556 | −$159 −9.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 41d | Yes | 18,000 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $1,530 | −$270 −15% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | No | 1,916 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $1,437 | +$107 +8.0% |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 1,247 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,225 | +$54 +4.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3,000 | 29¢ → 39¢ | $1,155 | +$285 +33% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 3,000 | 30¢ → 39¢ | $1,155 | +$255 +28% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 7,259 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $980 | −$202 −17% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 6,064 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $819 | +$187 +30% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4,000 | 13¢ → 19¢ | $740 | +$220 +42% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 1,400 | 68¢ → 51¢ | $707 | −$242 −26% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 36,000 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $702 | +$415 +144% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 4d | No | 5,893 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $678 | −$17 −2.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3,458 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $622 | −$193 −24% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 20,000 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $530 | −$10 −1.8% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 14d | Yes | 12,837 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $456 | −$201 −31% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8,078 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $444 | −$479 −52% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 2d | No | 8,248 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $433 | −$344 −44% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 2,217 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $399 | −$76 −16% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10,500 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $383 | +$16 +4.3% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 330 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $303 | +$89 +42% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 14d | No | 4,144 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $296 | −$204 −41% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $286 | +$25 +9.7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 295 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $286 | +$31 +12% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,168 | 35¢ → 24¢ | $280 | −$127 −31% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 4,000 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $280 | −$79 −22% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 6,343 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $257 | −$50 −16% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,000 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $230 | +$70 +44% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 435 | 47¢ → 50¢ | $215 | +$12 +5.9% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 280 | 50¢ → 73¢ | $203 | +$63 +45% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 176 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $170 | +$7 +4.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8,436 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $169 | −$384 −69% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 784 | 45¢ → 19¢ | $145 | −$204 −58% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,000 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $135 | −$135 −50% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 76d | Yes | 556 | 37¢ → 23¢ | $125 | −$80 −39% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 798 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $96 | −$64 −40% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 5d | Yes | 15,897 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $95 | +$64 +200% |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $85 | −$35 −29% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 26d | Yes | 2,817 | 22¢ → 2¢ | $69 | −$543 −89% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $51 | −$52 −50% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 145 | 23¢ → 26¢ | $38 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 32 | 16¢ → 81¢ | $26 | +$21 +407% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,721 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $22 | −$213 −91% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $21 | +$3 +20% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,000 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $20 | −$100 −83% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 14d | Yes | 745 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $18 | −$29 −61% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 5d | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $15 | −$5 −25% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 106 | 23¢ → 10¢ | $11 | −$14 −56% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 76d | Yes | 312 | 24¢ → 3¢ | $10 | −$64 −86% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 56d | No | 38 | 41¢ → 25¢ | $9 | −$6 −41% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$12 −69% |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 9,833 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$328 −99% |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$15 −83% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Ends in 102d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | +$2 +200% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$15 −86% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$16 −91% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$16 −91% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$16 −91% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −97% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8 | 30¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −96% |
| Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,211 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$429 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 452 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 194 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,166 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,948 −100% |
