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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +61 pts | +92 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412d | Abandoned-Counsel12 fills | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,301 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 412d |  duderr2 fills | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,056 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 412d |  Ahpo | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,572 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 412d |  TylerTurden | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,184 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 412d | 0x4e25…d7a73 fills | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,929 | +$30 +0.6% | 4 |
| 412d |  CherryB16 | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | −$36 −1.8% | — |
| 412d |  ChironCrossing | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,120 | +$38 +1.2% | 4 |
| 412d | Kingjusti | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,665 | +$85 +1.8% | 4 |
| 412d | Ordon | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$38 −3.5% | — |
| 412d | Ordon | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$41 +3.9% | 4 |
| 412d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | +$94 +6.7% | 4 |
| 412d | Yafan2 fills | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,101 | +$403 +5.7% | 4 |
| 412d | 999097hb | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$65 +6.5% | 4 |
| 412d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$450 +38% | 4 |
| 416d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,927 | −$1,927 −100% | 4 |
| 416d |  tkgshn | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 4 |
| 441d | carneymania | Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$601 +35% | 4 |
🎨🎨🎨5 shares
Oleg19931,132 shares
ImKitaNow1,105 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Shigeru Ishiba ceases to be the Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between July 23 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Shigeru Ishiba's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.