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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272d | Each-Bench2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,627 | +$23 +0.1% | 10 |
| 274d |  Trolll2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,066 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 274d | GregoryR | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,511 | −$15 −0.4% | — |
| 276d |  probability | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,913 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 277d | probability3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,138 | +$16 +0.3% | 10 |
| 277d | TSK888 | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 278d | probability | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,655 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 278d |  Metusalem | January 31 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,294 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 278d |  knrad2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,316 | +$42 +1.8% | 10 |
| 278d | knrad | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$26 +1.0% | 10 |
| 286d | GregoryR | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$50 +2.2% | 10 |
| 296d |  edisonyang | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,246 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 336d | GregoryR | December 31, 2025 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$156 −15% | — |
| 345d | GregoryR | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$120 +11% | 10 |
| 352d | Clicia | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$156 +12% | 10 |
| 367d |  ditto5552 fills | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$327 +4.4% | 10 |
| 371d | Angelic-Barracks | December 31, 2025 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | −$240 −18% | — |
| 378d |  albert.00 | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$594 +30% | 10 |
AmericanSniper0019,876 shares
RepublicOfChina429 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Japanese general election is scheduled between October 10, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Japanese election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31, 2025 means the market gives it about 0%.