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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 22% | −7 pts | — | 20¢ · 23¢ (3¢) | — | in 7d |
| December 31 | 56% | +13 pts | — | 41¢ · 72¢ (31¢) | $20 | in 68d |
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Haradwaith27 shares
erFiodena25 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Jonathan Powell ceases to be the UK National Security Adviser for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Powell's resignation, removal, or other formal departure from this position before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/departure goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jonathan Powell or the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 22¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 22%.