Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252d | Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,789 | +$101 +2.7% | 10 | |
| 252d | Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$48 +4.2% | 10 | |
| 253d | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $6,959 | +$3,041 +44% | 20 |
| 253d | DarthMaulReturns2 fills | Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,045 | +$355 +7.0% | 12 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-nominate-judy-shelton-as-the-next-fed-chair-over-5 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.