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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honey | 100% | +1 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| The Fate of Ophelia | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter) | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Opalite | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruin The Friendship | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eldest Daughter | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CANCELLED! | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Father Figure | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Actually Romantic | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wi$h Li$t | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wood | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378d | Elizabeth Taylor | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,246 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 378d | Eldest Daughter | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,297 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 378d | Honey | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,669 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 378d | Honey | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,987 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 379d | Honey | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | −$32 −2.8% | — | |
| 381d | Eldest Daughter | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 382d | Elizabeth Taylor | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 382d | Honey | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,103 | +$33 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 382d | valmier | Honey | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$15 +1.3% | 4 |
| 382d | valmier | The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 382d | valmier | Wood | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,154 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 382d | valmier | Actually Romantic | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,165 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 383d | Honey | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$38 +3.3% | 4 | |
| 384d | ganatalak | The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$20 +1.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve based on which song will be the least-streamed track from The Life of a Showgirl on Spotify on October 10, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET. The resolution source for this market will be the Spotify desktop app, which displays the total lifetime streams of each track. The numbers will be checked precisely at 10:00 AM ET on October 10, 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Honey means the market gives it about 100%.