| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 12,726 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $12,402 | +$301 +2.5% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 6,141 | 68¢ → 89¢ | $5,434 | +$1,246 +30% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 6,000 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $5,430 | −$50 −0.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 5,358 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5,205 | +$157 +3.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 8,045 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $5,028 | −$70 −1.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5,713 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $4,493 | +$463 +11% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 5,250 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $4,069 | −$379 −8.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 4,492 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $3,885 | +$360 +10% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 4,000 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $3,620 | −$20 −0.5% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 3,750 | 21¢ → 91¢ | $3,413 | +$2,624 +333% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,558 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $3,279 | +$180 +5.8% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 2,920 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $2,876 | +$75 +2.7% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 41d | Yes | 4,600 | 71¢ → 63¢ | $2,875 | −$383 −12% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 41d | No | 3,987 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $2,735 | +$27 +1.0% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,458 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $2,732 | +$316 +13% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 3,522 | 68¢ → 77¢ | $2,694 | +$308 +13% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,919 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $2,614 | −$174 −6.2% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 2,757 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $2,605 | +$233 +9.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 3,523 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $2,449 | −$68 −2.7% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 41d | Yes | 3,710 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $2,449 | −$244 −9.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,526 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $2,362 | +$38 +1.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 2,400 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2,324 | +$84 +3.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,875 | 56¢ → 77¢ | $2,199 | +$581 +36% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 2,317 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $2,178 | +$46 +2.1% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2,127 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $2,082 | +$225 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 2,399 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $2,051 | +$178 +9.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 3,000 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $1,845 | −$35 −1.9% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,000 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $1,790 | +$340 +23% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,834 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $1,705 | +$184 +12% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,918 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $1,640 | +$78 +5.0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 12d | Nothing | 1,638 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1,573 | +$50 +3.3% |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Ends in 74d | No | 1,581 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,461 | +$45 +3.2% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,357 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1,357 | +$8 +0.6% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 1,725 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $1,354 | +$106 +8.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,577 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $1,301 | +$24 +1.9% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,887 | 54¢ → 67¢ | $1,261 | +$246 +24% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,374 | 62¢ → 92¢ | $1,257 | +$410 +48% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,309 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $1,165 | +$141 +14% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,300 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $1,157 | +$432 +60% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 1,092 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,061 | +$29 +2.8% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,300 | 19¢ → 30¢ | $990 | +$364 +58% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 994 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $972 | +$5 +0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,179 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $938 | +$57 +6.5% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,025 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $879 | +$118 +16% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1,000 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $785 | −$65 −7.6% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Ends in 2d | No | 776 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $776 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 951 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $709 | +$53 +8.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 1,000 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $705 | −$5 −0.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 701 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $691 | +$14 +2.1% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 698 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $687 | +$32 +4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 1,000 | 58¢ → 67¢ | $665 | +$85 +15% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 800 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $660 | +$4 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,000 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $655 | +$115 +21% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 5,066 | 22¢ → 13¢ | $633 | −$463 −42% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 670 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $631 | +$27 +4.5% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 46¢ → 63¢ | $625 | +$165 +36% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 673 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $622 | +$15 +2.6% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 600 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $565 | +$74 +15% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 4d | Yes | 600 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $561 | −$3 −0.5% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 495 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $441 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 512 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $436 | +$23 +5.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,000 | 44¢ → 43¢ | $425 | −$15 −3.4% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 515 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $425 | +$6 +1.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 1,000 | 44¢ → 42¢ | $415 | −$25 −5.7% |
| Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 332 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $323 | +$27 +9.2% |
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 250 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $237 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 228 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $222 | +$8 +3.5% |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 183 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $181 | +$4 +2.4% |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 181 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $179 | +$5 +2.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 176 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $175 | +$4 +2.4% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 255d | No | 286 | 84¢ → 59¢ | $169 | −$71 −30% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 513 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $167 | −$10 −5.4% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 9d | Yes | 5,242 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $144 | −$51 −26% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 132 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $131 | +$3 +2.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 8,319 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $112 | −$165 −60% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 127 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $110 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 92 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $88 | +$4 +4.4% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 84 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $82 | +$2 +3.1% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 83 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $80 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 83 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $79 | +$5 +7.3% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,401 | 26¢ → 5¢ | $74 | −$287 −79% |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 64 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $64 | +$3 +5.5% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Ends in 824d | Yes | 50 | 62¢ → 76¢ | $38 | +$7 +23% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 41 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $38 | +$2 +4.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $37 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 30 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$2 +7.4% |
| Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 26 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $24 | +$3 +12% |
| Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 23 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $23 | +$1 +4.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 325 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $22 | +$6 +40% |
| Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 21 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Ends in 2d | No | 11 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 9d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$1 −18% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2 | 15¢ → 36¢ | $1 | +$0 +137% |
